American Athletic Conference Championship Probabilities
Simulated probabilities for conference championship game appearances• Data from 2024-12-01
Conference Standings
| 1 |  ArmyARMY | 8-0 | 10-1 | 100% | |
| 2 |  TulaneTULN | 7-1 | 9-3 | 100% | |
| T3 |  MemphisMEM | 6-2 | 10-2 | - | |
| T3 |  NavyNAVY | 6-2 | 8-3 | - | |
| 5 |  East CarolinaECU | 5-3 | 7-5 | - | |
| T6 |  CharlotteCLT | 4-4 | 5-7 | - | |
| T6 |  South FloridaUSF | 4-4 | 6-6 | - | |
| T6 |  UTSAUTSA | 4-4 | 6-6 | - | |
| T9 |  North TexasUNT | 3-5 | 6-6 | - | |
| T9 |  RiceRICE | 3-5 | 4-8 | - | |
| T11 |  TempleTEM | 2-6 | 3-9 | - | |
| T11 |  UABUAB | 2-6 | 3-9 | - | |
| T13 |  Florida AtlanticFAU | 1-7 | 3-9 | - | |
| T13 |  TulsaTLSA | 1-7 | 3-9 | - | |
Based on 100,000 simulations • Data from 2024-12-01
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-12-01
CCG Odds by Conference Record
Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record
| Team | 9-0 | 8-1 | 7-1 | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ArmyARMY | 100% | 100% | - | 100% |
| TulaneTULN | - | - | 100% | 100% |
| CharlotteCLT | - | - | - | - |
| East CarolinaECU | - | - | - | - |
| Florida AtlanticFAU | - | - | - | - |
| MemphisMEM | - | - | - | - |
| NavyNAVY | - | - | - | - |
| North TexasUNT | - | - | - | - |
| RiceRICE | - | - | - | - |
| South FloridaUSF | - | - | - | - |
| TempleTEM | - | - | - | - |
| TulsaTLSA | - | - | - | - |
| UABUAB | - | - | - | - |
| UTSAUTSA | - | - | - | - |
Data from 2024-12-01
Final Record Distribution
Probability of each team finishing with a given conference record
| Team | 9-0 | 8-1 | 7-2 | 7-1 | 6-2 | 6-3 | 5-3 | 4-4 | 3-5 | 2-6 | 1-7 | Avg Wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ArmyARMY(8-0) | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8.7 |
| TulaneTULN(7-1) | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7.0 |
| NavyNAVY(6-2) | - | - | 34.9% | - | 0.0% | 65.1% | - | - | - | - | - | 6.3 |
| MemphisMEM(6-2) | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6.0 |
| East CarolinaECU(5-3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | 5.0 |
| CharlotteCLT(4-4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | 4.0 |
| South FloridaUSF(4-4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | 4.0 |
| UTSAUTSA(4-4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | 4.0 |
| North TexasUNT(3-5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | 3.0 |
| RiceRICE(3-5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | 3.0 |
| TempleTEM(2-6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | 2.0 |
| UABUAB(2-6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | 2.0 |
| Florida AtlanticFAU(1-7) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | 1.0 |
| TulsaTLSA(1-7) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | 1.0 |
Data from 2024-12-01