Big Ten Championship Probabilities
Simulated probabilities for conference championship game appearances• Data from 2024-12-01
Conference Standings
| 1 |  OregonORE | 9-0 | 12-0 | 100% | |
| T2 |  Penn StatePSU | 8-1 | 11-1 | 100% | |
| T2 |  IndianaIU | 8-1 | 11-1 | - | |
| 4 |  Ohio StateOSU | 7-2 | 10-2 | - | |
| T5 |  IllinoisILL | 6-3 | 9-3 | - | |
| T5 |  IowaIOWA | 6-3 | 8-4 | - | |
| T7 |  MichiganMICH | 5-4 | 7-5 | - | |
| T7 |  MinnesotaMINN | 5-4 | 7-5 | - | |
| T9 |  RutgersRUTG | 4-5 | 7-5 | - | |
| T9 |  USCUSC | 4-5 | 6-6 | - | |
| T9 |  WashingtonWASH | 4-5 | 6-6 | - | |
| T12 |  Michigan StateMSU | 3-6 | 5-7 | - | |
| T12 |  NebraskaNEB | 3-6 | 6-6 | - | |
| T12 |  UCLAUCLA | 3-6 | 5-7 | - | |
| T12 |  WisconsinWIS | 3-6 | 5-7 | - | |
| 16 |  NorthwesternNU | 2-7 | 4-8 | - | |
| 17 |  MarylandMD | 1-8 | 4-8 | - | |
| 18 |  PurduePUR | 0-9 | 1-11 | - | |
Based on 100,000 simulations • Data from 2024-12-01
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-12-01
CCG Odds by Conference Record
Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record
| Team | 9-0 | 8-1 | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| OregonORE | 100% | - | 100% |
| Penn StatePSU | - | 100% | 100% |
| IllinoisILL | - | - | - |
| IndianaIU | - | - | - |
| IowaIOWA | - | - | - |
| MarylandMD | - | - | - |
| MichiganMICH | - | - | - |
| Michigan StateMSU | - | - | - |
| MinnesotaMINN | - | - | - |
| NebraskaNEB | - | - | - |
| NorthwesternNU | - | - | - |
| Ohio StateOSU | - | - | - |
| PurduePUR | - | - | - |
| RutgersRUTG | - | - | - |
| UCLAUCLA | - | - | - |
| USCUSC | - | - | - |
| WashingtonWASH | - | - | - |
| WisconsinWIS | - | - | - |
Data from 2024-12-01
Final Record Distribution
Probability of each team finishing with a given conference record
| Team | 9-0 | 8-1 | 7-2 | 6-3 | 5-4 | 4-5 | 3-6 | 2-7 | 1-8 | 0-9 | Avg Wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OregonORE(9-0) | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9.0 |
| IndianaIU(8-1) | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8.0 |
| Penn StatePSU(8-1) | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8.0 |
| Ohio StateOSU(7-2) | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7.0 |
| IllinoisILL(6-3) | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6.0 |
| IowaIOWA(6-3) | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6.0 |
| MichiganMICH(5-4) | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | 5.0 |
| MinnesotaMINN(5-4) | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | 5.0 |
| RutgersRUTG(4-5) | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | 4.0 |
| USCUSC(4-5) | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | 4.0 |
| WashingtonWASH(4-5) | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | 4.0 |
| Michigan StateMSU(3-6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | 3.0 |
| NebraskaNEB(3-6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | 3.0 |
| UCLAUCLA(3-6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | 3.0 |
| WisconsinWIS(3-6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | 3.0 |
| NorthwesternNU(2-7) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | 2.0 |
| MarylandMD(1-8) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | 1.0 |
| PurduePUR(0-9) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | 0.0 |
Data from 2024-12-01