Conference USA Tiebreaker Scenarios

Scenarios where tiebreakers determine conference championship game participants

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Scenario	CCG Matchup	Probability
8-1 Jacksonville StateJXST 7-2 Sam HoustonSHSU Western KentuckyWKU	Jacksonville StateJXSTWestern KentuckyWKU	100.0%

Head-to-head → CFP rank → Computer rankings composite → Academic Progress Rate

Some tiebreaker steps involve factors like point differential that cannot be predicted before games are played, leading to uncertain outcomes.