Mountain West Conference Championship Probabilities
Simulated probabilities for conference championship game appearances• Data from 2024-12-01
Conference Standings
| 1 |  Boise StateBOIS | 7-0 | 11-1 | 100% | |
| T2 |  UNLVUNLV | 6-1 | 10-2 | 100% | |
| T2 |  Colorado StateCSU | 6-1 | 8-4 | - | |
| 4 |  Fresno StateFRES | 4-3 | 6-6 | - | |
| T5 |  Air ForceAF | 3-4 | 5-7 | - | |
| T5 |  Hawai'iHAW | 3-4 | 5-7 | - | |
| T5 |  New MexicoUNM | 3-4 | 5-7 | - | |
| T5 |  San José StateSJSU | 3-4 | 7-5 | - | |
| T5 |  Utah StateUSU | 3-4 | 4-8 | - | |
| T10 |  San Diego StateSDSU | 2-5 | 3-9 | - | |
| T10 |  WyomingWYO | 2-5 | 3-9 | - | |
| 12 |  NevadaNEV | 0-7 | 3-10 | - | |
Based on 100,000 simulations • Data from 2024-12-01
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-12-01
CCG Odds by Conference Record
Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record
| Team | 7-0 | 6-1 | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boise StateBOIS | 100% | - | 100% |
| UNLVUNLV | - | 100% | 100% |
| Air ForceAF | - | - | - |
| Colorado StateCSU | - | - | - |
| Fresno StateFRES | - | - | - |
| Hawai'iHAW | - | - | - |
| NevadaNEV | - | - | - |
| New MexicoUNM | - | - | - |
| San Diego StateSDSU | - | - | - |
| San José StateSJSU | - | - | - |
| Utah StateUSU | - | - | - |
| WyomingWYO | - | - | - |
Data from 2024-12-01
Final Record Distribution
Probability of each team finishing with a given conference record
| Team | 7-0 | 6-1 | 4-3 | 3-4 | 2-5 | 0-7 | Avg Wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boise StateBOIS(7-0) | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | 7.0 |
| Colorado StateCSU(6-1) | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | 6.0 |
| UNLVUNLV(6-1) | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | 6.0 |
| Fresno StateFRES(4-3) | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | 4.0 |
| Air ForceAF(3-4) | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | 3.0 |
| Hawai'iHAW(3-4) | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | 3.0 |
| New MexicoUNM(3-4) | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | 3.0 |
| San José StateSJSU(3-4) | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | 3.0 |
| Utah StateUSU(3-4) | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | 3.0 |
| San Diego StateSDSU(2-5) | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | 2.0 |
| WyomingWYO(2-5) | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | 2.0 |
| NevadaNEV(0-7) | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | 0.0 |
Data from 2024-12-01