SEC Championship Probabilities
Simulated probabilities for conference championship game appearances• Data from 2024-12-01
Conference Standings
| 1 |  TexasTEX | 7-1 | 11-1 | 100% | |
| T2 |  GeorgiaUGA | 6-2 | 10-2 | 100% | |
| T2 |  TennesseeTENN | 6-2 | 10-2 | - | |
| T4 |  AlabamaALA | 5-3 | 9-3 | - | |
| T4 |  LSULSU | 5-3 | 8-4 | - | |
| T4 |  Ole MissMISS | 5-3 | 9-3 | - | |
| T4 |  MissouriMIZ | 5-3 | 9-3 | - | |
| T4 |  South CarolinaSC | 5-3 | 9-3 | - | |
| T4 |  Texas A&MTA&M | 5-3 | 8-4 | - | |
| 10 |  FloridaFLA | 4-4 | 7-5 | - | |
| T11 |  ArkansasARK | 3-5 | 6-6 | - | |
| T11 |  VanderbiltVAN | 3-5 | 6-6 | - | |
| T13 |  AuburnAUB | 2-6 | 5-7 | - | |
| T13 |  OklahomaOU | 2-6 | 6-6 | - | |
| 15 |  KentuckyUK | 1-7 | 4-8 | - | |
| 16 |  Mississippi StateMSST | 0-8 | 2-10 | - | |
Based on 100,000 simulations • Data from 2024-12-01
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-12-01
CCG Odds by Conference Record
Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record
| Team | 7-1 | 6-2 | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| GeorgiaUGA | - | 100% | 100% |
| TexasTEX | 100% | - | 100% |
| AlabamaALA | - | - | - |
| ArkansasARK | - | - | - |
| AuburnAUB | - | - | - |
| FloridaFLA | - | - | - |
| KentuckyUK | - | - | - |
| LSULSU | - | - | - |
| Ole MissMISS | - | - | - |
| Mississippi StateMSST | - | - | - |
| MissouriMIZ | - | - | - |
| OklahomaOU | - | - | - |
| South CarolinaSC | - | - | - |
| TennesseeTENN | - | - | - |
| Texas A&MTA&M | - | - | - |
| VanderbiltVAN | - | - | - |
Data from 2024-12-01
Final Record Distribution
Probability of each team finishing with a given conference record
| Team | 7-1 | 6-2 | 5-3 | 4-4 | 3-5 | 2-6 | 1-7 | 0-8 | Avg Wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TexasTEX(7-1) | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7.0 |
| GeorgiaUGA(6-2) | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6.0 |
| TennesseeTENN(6-2) | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6.0 |
| AlabamaALA(5-3) | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | 5.0 |
| LSULSU(5-3) | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | 5.0 |
| Ole MissMISS(5-3) | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | 5.0 |
| MissouriMIZ(5-3) | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | 5.0 |
| South CarolinaSC(5-3) | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | 5.0 |
| Texas A&MTA&M(5-3) | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | 5.0 |
| FloridaFLA(4-4) | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | 4.0 |
| ArkansasARK(3-5) | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | 3.0 |
| VanderbiltVAN(3-5) | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | 3.0 |
| AuburnAUB(2-6) | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | 2.0 |
| OklahomaOU(2-6) | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | 2.0 |
| KentuckyUK(1-7) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | 1.0 |
| Mississippi StateMSST(0-8) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | 0.0 |
Data from 2024-12-01