Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Probabilities
Simulated probabilities for conference championship game appearances• Data from 2025-11-30
Conference Standings
| 1 |  VirginiaUVA | 7-2 | 10-2 | 100% | |
| T2 |  DukeDUKE | 6-2 | 7-5 | 100% | |
| T2 |  Georgia TechGT | 6-2 | 9-3 | - | |
| T2 |  MiamiMIA | 6-2 | 10-2 | - | |
| T2 |  PittsburghPITT | 6-2 | 8-4 | - | |
| T2 |  SMUSMU | 6-2 | 8-4 | - | |
| 7 |  NC StateNCSU | 5-4 | 7-5 | - | |
| T8 |  CaliforniaCAL | 4-4 | 7-5 | - | |
| T8 |  ClemsonCLEM | 4-4 | 7-5 | - | |
| T8 |  LouisvilleLOU | 4-4 | 8-4 | - | |
| T8 |  Wake ForestWAKE | 4-4 | 8-4 | - | |
| 12 |  StanfordSTAN | 3-5 | 4-8 | - | |
| T13 |  Florida StateFSU | 2-6 | 5-7 | - | |
| T13 |  North CarolinaUNC | 2-6 | 4-8 | - | |
| T13 |  Virginia TechVT | 2-6 | 3-9 | - | |
| T16 |  Boston CollegeBC | 1-7 | 2-10 | - | |
| T16 |  SyracuseSYR | 1-7 | 3-9 | - | |
Based on 100,000 simulations • Data from 2025-11-30
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2025-11-30
CCG Odds by Conference Record
Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record
| Team | 7-2 | 6-2 | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| DukeDUKE | - | 100% | 100% |
| VirginiaUVA | 100% | - | 100% |
| Boston CollegeBC | - | - | - |
| CaliforniaCAL | - | - | - |
| ClemsonCLEM | - | - | - |
| Florida StateFSU | - | - | - |
| Georgia TechGT | - | - | - |
| LouisvilleLOU | - | - | - |
| MiamiMIA | - | - | - |
| NC StateNCSU | - | - | - |
| North CarolinaUNC | - | - | - |
| PittsburghPITT | - | - | - |
| SMUSMU | - | - | - |
| StanfordSTAN | - | - | - |
| SyracuseSYR | - | - | - |
| Virginia TechVT | - | - | - |
| Wake ForestWAKE | - | - | - |
Data from 2025-11-30
Final Record Distribution
Probability of each team finishing with a given conference record
| Team | 7-2 | 6-2 | 5-4 | 4-4 | 3-5 | 2-6 | 1-7 | Avg Wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VirginiaUVA(7-2) | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7.0 |
| DukeDUKE(6-2) | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | 6.0 |
| Georgia TechGT(6-2) | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | 6.0 |
| MiamiMIA(6-2) | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | 6.0 |
| PittsburghPITT(6-2) | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | 6.0 |
| SMUSMU(6-2) | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | 6.0 |
| NC StateNCSU(5-4) | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | 5.0 |
| CaliforniaCAL(4-4) | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | 4.0 |
| ClemsonCLEM(4-4) | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | 4.0 |
| LouisvilleLOU(4-4) | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | 4.0 |
| Wake ForestWAKE(4-4) | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | 4.0 |
| StanfordSTAN(3-5) | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | 3.0 |
| Florida StateFSU(2-6) | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | 2.0 |
| North CarolinaUNC(2-6) | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | 2.0 |
| Virginia TechVT(2-6) | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | 2.0 |
| Boston CollegeBC(1-7) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | 1.0 |
| SyracuseSYR(1-7) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | 1.0 |
Data from 2025-11-30