Big Ten Championship Probabilities
Simulated probabilities for conference championship game appearances• Data from 2025-11-30
Conference Standings
| T1 |  IndianaIU | 9-0 | 12-0 | 100% | |
| T1 |  Ohio StateOSU | 9-0 | 12-0 | 100% | |
| 3 |  OregonORE | 8-1 | 11-1 | - | |
| T4 |  MichiganMICH | 7-2 | 9-3 | - | |
| T4 |  USCUSC | 7-2 | 9-3 | - | |
| 6 |  IowaIOWA | 6-3 | 8-4 | - | |
| T7 |  IllinoisILL | 5-4 | 8-4 | - | |
| T7 |  MinnesotaMINN | 5-4 | 7-5 | - | |
| T7 |  WashingtonWASH | 5-4 | 8-4 | - | |
| T10 |  NebraskaNEB | 4-5 | 7-5 | - | |
| T10 |  NorthwesternNU | 4-5 | 6-6 | - | |
| T12 |  Penn StatePSU | 3-6 | 6-6 | - | |
| T12 |  UCLAUCLA | 3-6 | 3-9 | - | |
| T14 |  RutgersRUTG | 2-7 | 5-7 | - | |
| T14 |  WisconsinWIS | 2-7 | 4-8 | - | |
| T16 |  MarylandMD | 1-8 | 4-8 | - | |
| T16 |  Michigan StateMSU | 1-8 | 4-8 | - | |
| 18 |  PurduePUR | 0-9 | 2-10 | - | |
Based on 100,000 simulations • Data from 2025-11-30
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2025-11-30
CCG Odds by Conference Record
Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record
| Team | 9-0 | Overall |
|---|---|---|
| IndianaIU | 100% | 100% |
| Ohio StateOSU | 100% | 100% |
| IllinoisILL | - | - |
| IowaIOWA | - | - |
| MarylandMD | - | - |
| MichiganMICH | - | - |
| Michigan StateMSU | - | - |
| MinnesotaMINN | - | - |
| NebraskaNEB | - | - |
| NorthwesternNU | - | - |
| OregonORE | - | - |
| Penn StatePSU | - | - |
| PurduePUR | - | - |
| RutgersRUTG | - | - |
| UCLAUCLA | - | - |
| USCUSC | - | - |
| WashingtonWASH | - | - |
| WisconsinWIS | - | - |
Data from 2025-11-30
Final Record Distribution
Probability of each team finishing with a given conference record
| Team | 9-0 | 8-1 | 7-2 | 6-3 | 5-4 | 4-5 | 3-6 | 2-7 | 1-8 | 0-9 | Avg Wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IndianaIU(9-0) | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9.0 |
| Ohio StateOSU(9-0) | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9.0 |
| OregonORE(8-1) | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8.0 |
| MichiganMICH(7-2) | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7.0 |
| USCUSC(7-2) | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7.0 |
| IowaIOWA(6-3) | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6.0 |
| IllinoisILL(5-4) | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | 5.0 |
| MinnesotaMINN(5-4) | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | 5.0 |
| WashingtonWASH(5-4) | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | 5.0 |
| NebraskaNEB(4-5) | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | 4.0 |
| NorthwesternNU(4-5) | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | 4.0 |
| Penn StatePSU(3-6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | 3.0 |
| UCLAUCLA(3-6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | 3.0 |
| RutgersRUTG(2-7) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | 2.0 |
| WisconsinWIS(2-7) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | 2.0 |
| MarylandMD(1-8) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | 1.0 |
| Michigan StateMSU(1-8) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | 1.0 |
| PurduePUR(0-9) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | 0.0 |
Data from 2025-11-30