Conference USA Championship Probabilities
Simulated probabilities for conference championship game appearances• Data from 2025-11-30
Conference Standings
| T1 |  Jacksonville StateJXST | 7-1 | 8-4 | 100% | |
| T1 |  Kennesaw StateKENN | 7-1 | 9-3 | 100% | |
| 3 |  Western KentuckyWKU | 6-2 | 8-4 | - | |
| T4 |  Florida InternationalFIU | 5-3 | 7-5 | - | |
| T4 |  Louisiana TechLT | 5-3 | 7-5 | - | |
| T4 |  Missouri StateMOST | 5-3 | 7-5 | - | |
| 7 |  DelawareDEL | 4-4 | 6-6 | - | |
| 8 |  LibertyLIB | 3-5 | 4-8 | - | |
| T9 |  Middle TennesseeMTSU | 2-6 | 3-9 | - | |
| T9 |  New Mexico StateNMSU | 2-6 | 4-8 | - | |
| T11 |  Sam HoustonSHSU | 1-7 | 2-10 | - | |
| T11 |  UTEPUTEP | 1-7 | 2-10 | - | |
Based on 100,000 simulations • Data from 2025-11-30
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2025-11-30
CCG Odds by Conference Record
Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record
Data from 2025-11-30
Final Record Distribution
Probability of each team finishing with a given conference record
| Team | 7-1 | 6-2 | 5-3 | 4-4 | 3-5 | 2-6 | 1-7 | Avg Wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville StateJXST(7-1) | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7.0 |
| Kennesaw StateKENN(7-1) | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7.0 |
| Western KentuckyWKU(6-2) | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | 6.0 |
| Florida InternationalFIU(5-3) | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | 5.0 |
| Louisiana TechLT(5-3) | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | 5.0 |
| Missouri StateMOST(5-3) | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | 5.0 |
| DelawareDEL(4-4) | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | 4.0 |
| LibertyLIB(3-5) | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | 3.0 |
| Middle TennesseeMTSU(2-6) | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | 2.0 |
| New Mexico StateNMSU(2-6) | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | 2.0 |
| Sam HoustonSHSU(1-7) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | 1.0 |
| UTEPUTEP(1-7) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | 1.0 |
Data from 2025-11-30