Mid-American Conference Championship Probabilities
Simulated probabilities for conference championship game appearances• Data from 2025-11-30
Conference Standings
| 1 |  Western MichiganWMU | 7-1 | 8-4 | 100% | |
| T2 |  ToledoTOL | 6-2 | 8-4 | 100% | |
| T2 |  Miami (OH)M-OH | 6-2 | 7-5 | - | |
| T2 |  OhioOHIO | 6-2 | 8-4 | - | |
| 5 |  Central MichiganCMU | 5-3 | 7-5 | - | |
| T6 |  AkronAKR | 4-4 | 5-7 | - | |
| T6 |  BuffaloBUF | 4-4 | 5-7 | - | |
| T6 |  Kent StateKENT | 4-4 | 5-7 | - | |
| T9 |  Ball StateBALL | 3-5 | 4-8 | - | |
| T9 |  Eastern MichiganEMU | 3-5 | 4-8 | - | |
| T11 |  Bowling GreenBGSU | 2-6 | 4-8 | - | |
| T11 |  Northern IllinoisNIU | 2-6 | 3-9 | - | |
| 13 |  MassachusettsMASS | 0-8 | 0-12 | - | |
Based on 100,000 simulations • Data from 2025-11-30
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2025-11-30
CCG Odds by Conference Record
Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record
| Team | 7-1 | 6-2 | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| ToledoTOL | - | 100% | 100% |
| Western MichiganWMU | 100% | - | 100% |
| AkronAKR | - | - | - |
| Ball StateBALL | - | - | - |
| Bowling GreenBGSU | - | - | - |
| BuffaloBUF | - | - | - |
| Central MichiganCMU | - | - | - |
| Eastern MichiganEMU | - | - | - |
| Kent StateKENT | - | - | - |
| MassachusettsMASS | - | - | - |
| Miami (OH)M-OH | - | - | - |
| Northern IllinoisNIU | - | - | - |
| OhioOHIO | - | - | - |
Data from 2025-11-30
Final Record Distribution
Probability of each team finishing with a given conference record
| Team | 7-1 | 6-2 | 5-3 | 4-4 | 3-5 | 2-6 | 0-8 | Avg Wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western MichiganWMU(7-1) | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7.0 |
| Miami (OH)M-OH(6-2) | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | 6.0 |
| OhioOHIO(6-2) | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | 6.0 |
| ToledoTOL(6-2) | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | 6.0 |
| Central MichiganCMU(5-3) | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | 5.0 |
| AkronAKR(4-4) | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | 4.0 |
| BuffaloBUF(4-4) | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | 4.0 |
| Kent StateKENT(4-4) | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | 4.0 |
| Ball StateBALL(3-5) | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | 3.0 |
| Eastern MichiganEMU(3-5) | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | 3.0 |
| Bowling GreenBGSU(2-6) | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | 2.0 |
| Northern IllinoisNIU(2-6) | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | 2.0 |
| MassachusettsMASS(0-8) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | 0.0 |
Data from 2025-11-30