Sun Belt Conference Championship Probabilities
Simulated probabilities for conference championship game appearances• Data from 2025-11-30
Conference Standings
| 1 |  James MadisonJMU | 8-0 | 11-1 | 100% | |
| T2 |  TroyTROY | 6-2 | 8-4 | 100% | |
| T2 |  Old DominionODU | 6-2 | 9-3 | - | |
| T4 |  Arkansas StateARST | 5-3 | 6-6 | - | |
| T4 |  Coastal CarolinaCCU | 5-3 | 6-6 | - | |
| T4 |  LouisianaUL | 5-3 | 6-6 | - | |
| T4 |  Southern MissUSM | 5-3 | 7-5 | - | |
| 8 |  Georgia SouthernGASO | 4-4 | 6-6 | - | |
| T9 |  MarshallMRSH | 3-5 | 5-7 | - | |
| T9 |  South AlabamaUSA | 3-5 | 4-8 | - | |
| T9 |  Texas StateTXST | 3-5 | 6-6 | - | |
| 12 |  App StateAPP | 2-6 | 5-7 | - | |
| 13 |  UL MonroeULM | 1-7 | 3-9 | - | |
| 14 |  Georgia StateGAST | 0-8 | 1-11 | - | |
Based on 100,000 simulations • Data from 2025-11-30
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2025-11-30
CCG Odds by Conference Record
Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record
| Team | 8-0 | 6-2 | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| James MadisonJMU | 100% | - | 100% |
| TroyTROY | - | 100% | 100% |
| App StateAPP | - | - | - |
| Arkansas StateARST | - | - | - |
| Coastal CarolinaCCU | - | - | - |
| Georgia SouthernGASO | - | - | - |
| Georgia StateGAST | - | - | - |
| LouisianaUL | - | - | - |
| MarshallMRSH | - | - | - |
| Old DominionODU | - | - | - |
| South AlabamaUSA | - | - | - |
| Southern MissUSM | - | - | - |
| Texas StateTXST | - | - | - |
| UL MonroeULM | - | - | - |
Data from 2025-11-30
Final Record Distribution
Probability of each team finishing with a given conference record
| Team | 8-0 | 6-2 | 5-3 | 4-4 | 3-5 | 2-6 | 1-7 | 0-8 | Avg Wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James MadisonJMU(8-0) | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8.0 |
| Old DominionODU(6-2) | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6.0 |
| TroyTROY(6-2) | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6.0 |
| Arkansas StateARST(5-3) | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | 5.0 |
| Coastal CarolinaCCU(5-3) | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | 5.0 |
| LouisianaUL(5-3) | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | 5.0 |
| Southern MissUSM(5-3) | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | 5.0 |
| Georgia SouthernGASO(4-4) | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | 4.0 |
| MarshallMRSH(3-5) | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | 3.0 |
| South AlabamaUSA(3-5) | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | 3.0 |
| Texas StateTXST(3-5) | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | 3.0 |
| App StateAPP(2-6) | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | 2.0 |
| UL MonroeULM(1-7) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | 1.0 |
| Georgia StateGAST(0-8) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | 0.0 |
Data from 2025-11-30