SEC Championship Probabilities
Simulated probabilities for conference championship game appearances• Data from 2025-11-30
Conference Standings
| T1 |  AlabamaALA | 7-1 | 10-2 | 100% | |
| T1 |  GeorgiaUGA | 7-1 | 11-1 | 100% | |
| T1 |  Ole MissMISS | 7-1 | 11-1 | - | |
| T1 |  Texas A&MTA&M | 7-1 | 11-1 | - | |
| T5 |  OklahomaOU | 6-2 | 10-2 | - | |
| T5 |  TexasTEX | 6-2 | 9-3 | - | |
| T5 |  VanderbiltVAN | 6-2 | 10-2 | - | |
| T8 |  MissouriMIZ | 4-4 | 8-4 | - | |
| T8 |  TennesseeTENN | 4-4 | 8-4 | - | |
| 10 |  LSULSU | 3-5 | 7-5 | - | |
| T11 |  FloridaFLA | 2-6 | 4-8 | - | |
| T11 |  KentuckyUK | 2-6 | 5-7 | - | |
| T13 |  AuburnAUB | 1-7 | 5-7 | - | |
| T13 |  Mississippi StateMSST | 1-7 | 5-7 | - | |
| T13 |  South CarolinaSC | 1-7 | 4-8 | - | |
| 16 |  ArkansasARK | 0-8 | 2-10 | - | |
Based on 100,000 simulations • Data from 2025-11-30
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2025-11-30
CCG Odds by Conference Record
Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record
| Team | 7-1 | Overall |
|---|---|---|
| AlabamaALA | 100% | 100% |
| GeorgiaUGA | 100% | 100% |
| ArkansasARK | - | - |
| AuburnAUB | - | - |
| FloridaFLA | - | - |
| KentuckyUK | - | - |
| LSULSU | - | - |
| Ole MissMISS | - | - |
| Mississippi StateMSST | - | - |
| MissouriMIZ | - | - |
| OklahomaOU | - | - |
| South CarolinaSC | - | - |
| TennesseeTENN | - | - |
| TexasTEX | - | - |
| Texas A&MTA&M | - | - |
| VanderbiltVAN | - | - |
Data from 2025-11-30
Final Record Distribution
Probability of each team finishing with a given conference record
| Team | 7-1 | 6-2 | 4-4 | 3-5 | 2-6 | 1-7 | 0-8 | Avg Wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AlabamaALA(7-1) | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7.0 |
| GeorgiaUGA(7-1) | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7.0 |
| Ole MissMISS(7-1) | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7.0 |
| Texas A&MTA&M(7-1) | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7.0 |
| OklahomaOU(6-2) | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | 6.0 |
| TexasTEX(6-2) | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | 6.0 |
| VanderbiltVAN(6-2) | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | 6.0 |
| MissouriMIZ(4-4) | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | 4.0 |
| TennesseeTENN(4-4) | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | 4.0 |
| LSULSU(3-5) | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | 3.0 |
| FloridaFLA(2-6) | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | 2.0 |
| KentuckyUK(2-6) | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | 2.0 |
| AuburnAUB(1-7) | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | 1.0 |
| Mississippi StateMSST(1-7) | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | 1.0 |
| South CarolinaSC(1-7) | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | 1.0 |
| ArkansasARK(0-8) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | 0.0 |
Data from 2025-11-30