Atlantic Coast Conference

Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Probabilities

Simulated probabilities for conference championship game appearances• Data from 2024-11-17

Atlantic Coast ConferenceConference Standings

1SMUSMU6-09-197.8%
2ClemsonCLEM7-18-215.7%
3Miami FLMIA5-19-186.5%
T4Georgia TechGT4-36-4-
T4LouisvilleLOU4-36-4-
T4SyracuseSYR4-37-3-
T7DukeDUKE3-37-3-
T7North CarolinaUNC3-36-4-
T7PittsburghPITT3-37-3-
T7VirginiaUVA3-35-5-
T7Virginia TechVT3-35-5-
T12Boston CollegeBC2-45-5-
T12NC StateNCSU2-45-5-
T12Wake ForestWAKE2-44-6-
15StanfordSTAN2-53-7-
16CaliforniaCAL1-55-5-
17Florida StFSU1-71-9-

Based on 100,000 simulations • Data from 2024-11-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Atlantic Coast Conference CCG Matchups

184.3%
Miami FLMIA
vs
SMUSMU
213.5%
ClemsonCLEM
vs
SMUSMU
32.2%
ClemsonCLEM
vs
MIAMiami FL

Data from 2024-11-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Atlantic Coast ConferenceCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10Week 11Week 12Week 13

Data from 2024-11-17 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact on Atlantic Coast Conference CCG Odds

Current CCG Probability: 97.8%
Game
SMUCCG OddsAway
SMUCCG OddsHome
PittsburghPITT@LouisvilleLOU
97.9%
(+0.1%)		97.8%
(-0.0%)
Wake ForestWAKE@Miami FLMIA
97.9%
(+0.0%)		97.8%
(+0.0%)
NC StateNCSU@Georgia TechGT
97.9%
(+0.1%)		97.8%
(-0.0%)
The CitadelCIT@ClemsonCLEM
97.9%
(+0.1%)		97.8%
(-0.0%)
SMUSMU@VirginiaUVA
100.0%
(+2.2%)		81.2%
(-16.6%)
Virginia TechVT@DukeDUKE
97.8%
(-0.0%)		97.9%
(+0.0%)
Charleston SouthernCHSO@Florida StFSU
97.8%
(-0.1%)		97.8%
(+0.0%)
StanfordSTAN@CaliforniaCAL
97.7%
(-0.1%)		97.8%
(+0.0%)
UConnCONN@SyracuseSYR
97.8%
(-0.0%)		97.8%
(+0.0%)
North CarolinaUNC@Boston CollegeBC
97.8%
(+0.0%)		97.8%
(-0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for SMU

SMUSMU

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 88.4%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for SMU

SMUSMU

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 88.4%

Ways for SMU to Clinch Atlantic Coast Conference CCG Spot This Week

SMUSMU
88.4%
PittsburghPittsburghNC StateNC StateThe CitadelThe CitadelVirginia TechVirginia TechFlorida StFlorida StateNorth CarolinaNorth Carolina
0.2%
NC StateNC StateCharleston SouthernCharleston SouthernStanfordStanford
0.1%
PittsburghPittsburghNC StateNC StateThe CitadelThe CitadelVirginia TechVirginia TechUConnUConn
0.1%
The CitadelThe CitadelDukeDukeCharleston SouthernCharleston SouthernUConnUConnNorth CarolinaNorth Carolina
0.1%
PittsburghPittsburghMiami FLMiamiNC StateNC StateVirginia TechVirginia TechCharleston SouthernCharleston SouthernUConnUConn
0.1%
PittsburghPittsburghClemsonClemsonDukeDukeCharleston SouthernCharleston SouthernUConnUConnBoston CollegeBoston College
0.1%
NC StateNC StateThe CitadelThe CitadelStanfordStanfordSyracuseSyracuse
0.1%
PittsburghPittsburghDukeDukeFlorida StFlorida StateStanfordStanfordSyracuseSyracuseBoston CollegeBoston College
0.1%
Wake ForestWake ForestThe CitadelThe CitadelDukeDukeSyracuseSyracuse
0.1%

+3 more clinching scenarios

Data from 2024-11-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Atlantic Coast ConferenceCCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team8-07-16-2Overall
SMUSMU100%100%0.4%97.8%
Miami FLMIA-100%2.1%86.5%
ClemsonCLEM-15.7%-15.7%
Boston CollegeBC----
CaliforniaCAL----
DukeDUKE----
Florida StFSU----
Georgia TechGT----
LouisvilleLOU----
NC StateNCSU----
North CarolinaUNC----
PittsburghPITT----
StanfordSTAN----
SyracuseSYR----
VirginiaUVA----
Virginia TechVT----
Wake ForestWAKE----

Data from 2024-11-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Atlantic Coast ConferenceFinal Record Distribution

Probability of each team finishing with a given conference record

Team8-07-16-25-34-43-52-61-7Avg Wins
SMUSMU(6-0)71.5%26.3%2.2%-----7.7
ClemsonCLEM(7-1)-100%------7.0
Miami FLMIA(5-1)-86.2%13.4%0.4%----6.9
LouisvilleLOU(4-3)---79.9%20.1%---4.8
Georgia TechGT(4-3)---68.4%31.6%---4.7
North CarolinaUNC(3-3)---47.0%43.3%9.7%--4.4
Virginia TechVT(3-3)---43.8%49.4%6.8%--4.4
DukeDUKE(3-3)---36.7%50.2%13.1%--4.2
SyracuseSYR(4-3)---10.2%89.8%---4.1
PittsburghPITT(3-3)---11.0%52.8%36.2%--3.7
VirginiaUVA(3-3)---1.6%22.3%76.1%--3.3
Boston CollegeBC(2-4)----15.6%48.5%35.9%-2.8
NC StateNCSU(2-4)----9.0%41.9%49.1%-2.6
Wake ForestWAKE(2-4)----1.0%27.6%71.5%-2.3
CaliforniaCAL(1-5)-----18.1%77.5%4.4%2.1
StanfordSTAN(2-5)-----5.5%94.5%-2.1
Florida StFSU(1-7)-------100%1.0

Data from 2024-11-17 • SportsSimulate.com