SMU

SMUMustangs

9-1 1st (6-0) in ACC

Data from 2024-11-17 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

97.8%

Based on 100,000 simulations

SMUSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
08/24
@NevadaNEV
W29-24
18/31
vsHouston ChristianHCU
W59-7
29/06
vsBYUBYU
L15-18
49/21
vsTCUTCU
W66-42
59/28
vsFlorida StFSU
W42-16
610/05
@LouisvilleLOU
W34-27
810/19
@StanfordSTAN
W40-10
910/26
@DukeDUKE
W28-27
1011/02
vsPittsburghPITT
W48-25
1211/16
vsBoston CollegeBC
W38-28
1311/23
@VirginiaUVA
Win prob:88%
1411/30
vsCaliforniaCAL
Win prob:81%

Data from 2024-11-17 • SportsSimulate.com

SMURecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
71.5%
100.0%
7-1
26.3%
100.0%
6-2
2.2%
0.4%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-11-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely SMU CCG Opponents

if SMU makes the CCG

MiamiMiami FL
86.2%
ClemsonClemson
13.8%

Data from 2024-11-17 • SportsSimulate.com

SMUThis Week's Impact

Game
SMUCCG OddsAway
SMUCCG OddsHome
PittsburghPITT@LouisvilleLOU
97.9%
(+0.1%)		97.8%
(-0.0%)
Wake ForestWAKE@Miami FLMIA
97.9%
(+0.0%)		97.8%
(+0.0%)
NC StateNCSU@Georgia TechGT
97.9%
(+0.1%)		97.8%
(-0.0%)
The CitadelCIT@ClemsonCLEM
97.9%
(+0.1%)		97.8%
(-0.0%)
SMUSMU@VirginiaUVA
100.0%
(+2.2%)		81.2%
(-16.6%)
Virginia TechVT@DukeDUKE
97.8%
(-0.0%)		97.9%
(+0.0%)
Charleston SouthernCHSO@Florida StFSU
97.8%
(-0.1%)		97.8%
(+0.0%)
StanfordSTAN@CaliforniaCAL
97.7%
(-0.1%)		97.8%
(+0.0%)
UConnCONN@SyracuseSYR
97.8%
(-0.0%)		97.8%
(+0.0%)
North CarolinaUNC@Boston CollegeBC
97.8%
(+0.0%)		97.8%
(-0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for SMU

SMUSMU

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 88.4%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for SMU

SMUSMU

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 88.4%

Ways for SMU to Clinch Atlantic Coast Conference CCG Spot This Week

SMUSMU
88.4%
PittsburghPittsburghNC StateNC StateThe CitadelThe CitadelVirginia TechVirginia TechFlorida StFlorida StateNorth CarolinaNorth Carolina
0.2%
NC StateNC StateCharleston SouthernCharleston SouthernStanfordStanford
0.1%
PittsburghPittsburghNC StateNC StateThe CitadelThe CitadelVirginia TechVirginia TechUConnUConn
0.1%
The CitadelThe CitadelDukeDukeCharleston SouthernCharleston SouthernUConnUConnNorth CarolinaNorth Carolina
0.1%
PittsburghPittsburghMiami FLMiamiNC StateNC StateVirginia TechVirginia TechCharleston SouthernCharleston SouthernUConnUConn
0.1%
PittsburghPittsburghClemsonClemsonDukeDukeCharleston SouthernCharleston SouthernUConnUConnBoston CollegeBoston College
0.1%
NC StateNC StateThe CitadelThe CitadelStanfordStanfordSyracuseSyracuse
0.1%
PittsburghPittsburghDukeDukeFlorida StFlorida StateStanfordStanfordSyracuseSyracuseBoston CollegeBoston College
0.1%
Wake ForestWake ForestThe CitadelThe CitadelDukeDukeSyracuseSyracuse
0.1%

+3 more clinching scenarios

Data from 2024-11-17 • SportsSimulate.com

SMULoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
SMU CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
71.5%
Any 1 loss
100.0%
26.3%

Data from 2024-11-17 • SportsSimulate.com

SMUCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10Week 11Week 12Week 13

Data from 2024-11-17 • SportsSimulate.com