Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
96.6%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | W24-14 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | W37-34 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | W49-14 | |
| 5 | 9/28 | W34-13 | |
| 6 | 10/04 | W31-10 | |
| 7 | 10/12 | W32-31 | |
| 8 | 10/18 | W35-0 | |
| 9 | 10/26 | W38-9 | |
| 10 | 11/02 | W38-17 | |
| 11 | 11/09 | W39-18 | |
| 12 | 11/16 | W16-13 | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:92% |
Data from 2024-11-17
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 9-0 | 92.2% | 100.0% |
| 8-1 | 7.8% | 56.6% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-11-17
Most Likely CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2024-11-17
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 95.5% (-1.1%) | 96.9% (+0.3%) | |
| 96.2% (-0.4%) | 98.3% (+1.7%) | |
| 96.5% (-0.1%) | 96.8% (+0.1%) | |
| 96.1% (-0.5%) | 100.0% (+3.4%) | |
| 95.2% (-1.4%) | 96.8% (+0.2%) | |
| 96.5% (-0.1%) | 96.8% (+0.2%) | |
| 96.6% (-0.0%) | 96.7% (+0.1%) | |
| 100.0% (+3.4%) | 95.9% (-0.7%) |
Best Winner Combination for
MinnesotaCCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 12.1%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
IndianaCCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 17.8%
Ways for to Clinch 
CCG Spot This Week
IndianaMinnesotaData from 2024-11-17
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Win out
100.0%
92.2%
56.6%
7.8%Data from 2024-11-17
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-11-17