Big Ten Tiebreaker Scenarios

Scenarios where tiebreakers determine conference championship game participants

Filter by team:

8 of 8 scenarios

Scenario	CCG Matchup	Probability
9-0 OregonORE 8-1 IndianaIU Ohio StateOSU Penn StatePSU	Ohio StateOSUOregonORE	56.8%
8-1 IndianaIU Ohio StateOSU OregonORE Penn StatePSU	CCG participants not 100% certain Ohio StateOSUPenn StatePSU 70.6% Ohio StateOSUOregonORE 29.4%	4.8%
9-0 IndianaIU OregonORE 8-1 Penn StatePSU	IndianaIUOregonORE	1.5%
9-0 OregonORE 8-1 IndianaIU Ohio StateOSU	Ohio StateOSUOregonORE	0.3%
9-0 IndianaIU 8-1 OregonORE Penn StatePSU	IndianaIUOregonORE	0.1%
9-0 OregonORE 8-1 IndianaIU Penn StatePSU	IndianaIUOregonORE	<0.1%
9-0 OregonORE 7-2 IndianaIU Ohio StateOSU Penn StatePSU	Ohio StateOSUOregonORE	<0.1%
8-1 IndianaIU Ohio StateOSU OregonORE	Ohio StateOSUOregonORE	<0.1%

Head-to-head → Common conference opponents → Record against highest-placed opponent → Next-highest, etc.

Some tiebreaker steps involve factors like point differential that cannot be predicted before games are played, leading to uncertain outcomes.