Mountain West Conference Championship Probabilities
Simulated probabilities for conference championship game appearances• Data from 2024-11-24
Conference Standings
| 1 |  Boise StateBOIS | 7-0 | 10-1 | 100% | |
| T2 |  UNLVUNLV | 5-1 | 9-2 | 97.3% | |
| T2 |  Colorado StateCSU | 5-1 | 7-4 | 2.7% | |
| 4 |  Fresno StateFRES | 4-3 | 6-5 | - | |
| T5 |  New MexicoUNM | 3-3 | 5-6 | - | |
| T5 |  Utah StateUSU | 3-3 | 4-7 | - | |
| 7 |  San José StateSJSU | 3-4 | 6-5 | - | |
| T8 |  Air ForceAF | 2-4 | 4-7 | - | |
| T8 |  Hawai'iHAW | 2-4 | 4-7 | - | |
| T8 |  San Diego StateSDSU | 2-4 | 3-8 | - | |
| 11 |  WyomingWYO | 2-5 | 2-9 | - | |
| 12 |  NevadaNEV | 0-6 | 3-9 | - | |
Based on 100,000 simulations • Data from 2024-11-24
Most Likely CCG Matchups
Data from 2024-11-24
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-11-24
This Week's Impact on CCG Odds
Current CCG Probability: 100.0%
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 100.0% (+0.0%) | 100.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 100.0% (+0.0%) | 100.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 100.0% (+0.0%) | 100.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 100.0% (+0.0%) | 100.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 100.0% (+0.0%) | 100.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 100.0% (+0.0%) | 100.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 100.0% (+0.0%) | 100.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 100.0% (+0.0%) | 100.0% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Utah StateCCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 42.2%
Ways for to Clinch CCG Spot This Week
UNLVBoise State
Washington StateSan José StateAir ForceNew MexicoColorado State
UCLAFresno StateUtah State+6 more clinching scenarios
Data from 2024-11-24
CCG Odds by Conference Record
Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record
| Team | 7-0 | 6-1 | 5-2 | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boise StateBOIS | 100% | - | - | 100% |
| UNLVUNLV | - | 100% | 41.7% | 97.3% |
| Colorado StateCSU | - | 4.7% | - | 2.7% |
| Air ForceAF | - | - | - | - |
| Fresno StateFRES | - | - | - | - |
| Hawai'iHAW | - | - | - | - |
| NevadaNEV | - | - | - | - |
| New MexicoUNM | - | - | - | - |
| San Diego StateSDSU | - | - | - | - |
| San José StateSJSU | - | - | - | - |
| Utah StateUSU | - | - | - | - |
| WyomingWYO | - | - | - | - |
Data from 2024-11-24
Final Record Distribution
Probability of each team finishing with a given conference record
| Team | 7-0 | 6-1 | 5-2 | 4-3 | 3-4 | 2-5 | 1-6 | 0-7 | Avg Wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boise StateBOIS(7-0) | 100% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7.0 |
| UNLVUNLV(5-1) | - | 95.3% | 4.7% | - | - | - | - | - | 6.0 |
| Colorado StateCSU(5-1) | - | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | - | - | - | - | 5.6 |
| Fresno StateFRES(4-3) | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | - | 4.0 |
| New MexicoUNM(3-3) | - | - | - | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | - | - | 3.6 |
| Utah StateUSU(3-3) | - | - | - | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | - | - | 3.4 |
| San José StateSJSU(3-4) | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | - | 3.0 |
| Air ForceAF(2-4) | - | - | - | - | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | - | 2.6 |
| Hawai'iHAW(2-4) | - | - | - | - | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | - | 2.4 |
| San Diego StateSDSU(2-4) | - | - | - | - | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | - | 2.4 |
| WyomingWYO(2-5) | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | - | - | 2.0 |
| NevadaNEV(0-6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4.7% | 95.3% | 0.0 |
Data from 2024-11-24