UNLVRebels

9-2 T2nd (5-1) in MWC

Data from 2024-11-24 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

97.3%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/31	@HoustonHOU	W27-7
2	9/07	vsUtah TechUTU	W72-14
3	9/13	vsKansasKU(N)	W23-20
5	9/28	vsFresno StateFRES	W59-14
6	10/04	vsSyracuseSYR	L41-44
7	10/11	@Utah StateUSU	W50-34
8	10/19	@Oregon StateORST	W33-25
9	10/25	vsBoise StateBOIS	L24-29
11	11/09	@Hawai'iHAW	W29-27
12	11/16	vsSan Diego StateSDSU	W41-20
13	11/22	@San José StateSJSU	W27-16
14	11/30	vsNevadaNEV	Win prob:95%

Data from 2024-11-24 • SportsSimulate.com

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
6-1	95.3%	100.0%
5-2	4.7%	41.7%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-11-24 • SportsSimulate.com

if makes the CCG

100.0%

Data from 2024-11-24 • SportsSimulate.com

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
Utah StateUSU@Colorado StateCSU	100.0% (+2.7%)	95.3% (-2.0%)
WyomingWYO@Washington StateWSU	97.2% (-0.0%)	97.3% (+0.0%)
New MexicoUNM@Hawai'iHAW	97.2% (-0.1%)	97.4% (+0.1%)
NevadaNEV@UNLVUNLV	41.7% (-55.6%)	100.0% (+2.7%)
Oregon StateORST@Boise StateBOIS	97.3% (+0.0%)	97.3% (+0.0%)
Fresno StateFRES@UCLAUCLA	97.2% (-0.1%)	97.3% (+0.0%)
Air ForceAF@San Diego StateSDSU	97.2% (-0.0%)	97.3% (+0.1%)
StanfordSTAN@San José StateSJSU	97.4% (+0.1%)	97.2% (-0.0%)