Navy

NavyMidshipmen

9-2 T1st (7-1) in AAC

Data from 2025-11-30 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

100.0%

Based on 100,000 simulations

NavySchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/30
vsVMIVMI
W52-7
29/06
vsUABUAB
W38-24
39/13
@TulsaTLSA
W42-23
59/27
vsRiceRICE
W21-13
610/04
vsAir ForceAF
W34-31
710/11
@TempleTEM
W32-31
910/25
vsFL AtlanticFAU
W42-32
1011/01
@North TexasUNT
L17-31
1111/08
@Notre DameND
L10-49
1211/15
vsSouth FloridaUSF
W41-38
1411/27
@MemphisMEM
W28-17
12/13
vsArmyARMY(N)
Win prob:47%

Data from 2025-11-30 • SportsSimulate.com

NavyRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-1
47.2%
100.0%
7-2
52.8%
100.0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-11-30 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Navy CCG Opponents

if Navy makes the CCG

North TexasNorth Texas
100.0%

Data from 2025-11-30 • SportsSimulate.com

NavyLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Navy CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
47.2%
Army
100.0%
52.8%

Data from 2025-11-30 • SportsSimulate.com

NavyCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10Week 11Week 12Week 13Week 14Week 15

Data from 2025-11-30 • SportsSimulate.com