Central MichiganChippewas
0-0 T1st (0-0) in MAC
Data from 2026-08-26
Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
9.2%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/05 | Win prob:24% | ||
| 9/12 | Win prob:90% | ||
| 9/19 | Win prob:56% | ||
| 9/26 | Win prob:1% | ||
| 10/03 | Win prob:65% | ||
| 10/10 | Win prob:33% | ||
| 10/17 | Win prob:36% | ||
| 10/24 | Win prob:42% | ||
| 11/04 | Win prob:58% | ||
| 11/11 | Win prob:50% | ||
| 11/18 | Win prob:40% | ||
| 11/28 | Win prob:55% |
Data from 2026-08-26
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 8-0 | 0.2% | 100.0% |
| 7-1 | 2.0% | 97.8% |
| 6-2 | 8.4% | 64.5% |
| 5-3 | 19.5% | 8.0% |
| 4-4 | 27.7% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 24.5% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 13.1% | 0% |
| 1-7 | 4.0% | 0% |
| 0-8 | 0.5% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2026-08-26
Most Likely
CCG Opponents
if
makes the CCG
Data from 2026-08-26
This Week's Impact
| Game | ||
|---|---|---|
| 8.9% (-0.3%) | 9.6% (+0.4%) |
Best Winner Combination for 
CCG: 11.0% • Scenario: 42.1%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for 
CCG: 11.0% • Scenario: 42.1%
Data from 2026-08-26
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
Likelihood
Any 1 loss
100.0%
<0.1%Any 2 losses
98.3%
0.4%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%97.9%
<0.1%97.4%
<0.1%94.4%
<0.1%94.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%Any 3 losses
80.7%
2.2%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%99.1%
0.1%98.6%
0.1%97.4%
<0.1%97.3%
<0.1%97.2%
0.1%96.9%
<0.1%96.0%
<0.1%94.4%
<0.1%94.1%
<0.1%94.1%
<0.1%94.1%
<0.1%91.7%
<0.1%85.3%
<0.1%84.6%
<0.1%80.0%
<0.1%80.0%
<0.1%76.2%
<0.1%76.0%
<0.1%70.0%
<0.1%69.2%
<0.1%69.2%
<0.1%68.2%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%64.3%
<0.1%63.6%
<0.1%63.0%
<0.1%62.8%
<0.1%62.5%
<0.1%62.5%
<0.1%59.1%
<0.1%58.8%
<0.1%57.9%
<0.1%57.8%
<0.1%57.5%
<0.1%57.1%
<0.1%56.6%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%40.0%
<0.1%39.5%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%Any 4 losses
48.6%
7.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%98.4%
<0.1%97.4%
0.1%96.9%
<0.1%96.4%
<0.1%96.4%
<0.1%95.1%
<0.1%94.8%
0.1%91.7%
<0.1%90.0%
<0.1%87.5%
<0.1%86.5%
<0.1%84.6%
<0.1%84.6%
<0.1%83.3%
<0.1%83.0%
<0.1%82.1%
<0.1%81.8%
<0.1%81.8%
<0.1%80.0%
<0.1%80.0%
<0.1%80.0%
<0.1%79.4%
<0.1%79.4%
<0.1%79.0%
<0.1%78.6%
0.1%77.8%
<0.1%76.7%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%74.7%
<0.1%74.1%
<0.1%72.7%
<0.1%72.2%
<0.1%72.0%
<0.1%71.7%
<0.1%71.6%
<0.1%70.6%
0.1%69.2%
<0.1%68.5%
0.1%68.1%
<0.1%68.0%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.3%
<0.1%65.8%
0.1%65.0%
0.1%65.0%
<0.1%64.8%
0.1%64.7%
0.3%63.9%
<0.1%62.6%
<0.1%62.3%
0.2%60.5%
<0.1%60.0%
<0.1%60.0%
<0.1%59.1%
<0.1%57.9%
<0.1%57.3%
0.2%57.0%
0.2%56.4%
0.2%55.7%
<0.1%54.7%
<0.1%54.5%
0.2%54.5%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%49.2%
0.1%48.3%
<0.1%47.2%
<0.1%47.0%
0.3%46.7%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%26.3%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%19.2%
<0.1%17.6%
<0.1%17.1%
<0.1%15.8%
<0.1%15.7%
<0.1%15.4%
<0.1%14.8%
<0.1%14.3%
<0.1%14.3%
<0.1%13.3%
<0.1%13.3%
<0.1%13.3%
<0.1%13.2%
<0.1%13.2%
<0.1%13.0%
<0.1%11.3%
<0.1%11.1%
<0.1%9.4%
<0.1%9.2%
<0.1%9.1%
<0.1%8.3%
<0.1%8.2%
<0.1%7.6%
<0.1%7.4%
<0.1%7.3%
<0.1%7.1%
<0.1%6.7%
<0.1%6.5%
<0.1%6.5%
<0.1%6.5%
<0.1%6.3%
0.1%6.1%
<0.1%6.1%
<0.1%5.9%
0.1%5.9%
<0.1%5.6%
<0.1%5.0%
<0.1%4.8%
0.1%4.8%
<0.1%4.5%
<0.1%4.3%
<0.1%4.3%
<0.1%4.1%
<0.1%4.1%
<0.1%2.8%
<0.1%2.7%
<0.1%2.3%
<0.1%2.2%
<0.1%1.5%
<0.1%Data from 2026-08-26