Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
100.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/30 | W42-7 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | W24-7 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | W37-14 | |
| 5 | 9/26 | W42-14 | |
| 6 | 10/05 | W49-7 | |
| 7 | 10/12 | W44-10 | |
| 8 | 10/19 | W45-28 | |
| 10 | 11/02 | W20-3 | |
| 11 | 11/09 | W14-3 | |
| 13 | 11/23 | Win prob:7% | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:81% | |
| 12/14 | Win prob:74% |
Data from 2024-11-17
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 9-0 | 60.2% | 100.0% |
| 8-1 | 35.0% | 100.0% |
| 7-2 | 4.9% | 100.0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-11-17
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Win out
100.0%
4.1%Any 1 loss
100.0%
58.4%Any 2 losses
100.0%
33.0%
100.0%
4.5%Data from 2024-11-17
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-11-17