Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
100.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/29 | W52-0 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | L27-34 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | L19-34 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | W41-33 | |
| 5 | 9/28 | W45-10 | |
| 6 | 10/05 | W71-20 | |
| 8 | 10/19 | W24-10 | |
| 9 | 10/26 | W45-37 | |
| 10 | 10/31 | W34-3 | |
| 11 | 11/09 | W52-6 | |
| 12 | 11/16 | W35-0 | |
| 14 | 11/28 | Win prob:85% |
Data from 2024-11-17
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 8-0 | 85.5% | 100.0% |
| 7-1 | 14.5% | 100.0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-11-17
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Win out
100.0%
85.5%
100.0%
14.5%Data from 2024-11-17
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-11-17