American Athletic Conference Tiebreaker Scenarios

Scenarios where tiebreakers determine conference championship game participants

5 of 5 scenarios

ScenarioCCG MatchupProbability
9-0
TulaneTULN
7-2
ArmyARMYNavyNAVY
ArmyARMYTulaneTULN
2.2%
9-0
TulaneTULN
7-2
ArmyARMYEast CarolinaECU
ArmyARMYTulaneTULN
0.8%
8-1
TulaneTULN
7-2
ArmyARMYMemphisMEMNavyNAVY
ArmyARMYTulaneTULN
0.4%
8-1
TulaneTULN
7-2
ArmyARMYMemphisMEM
ArmyARMYTulaneTULN
0.2%
8-1
TulaneTULN
7-2
ArmyARMYEast CarolinaECUMemphisMEM
ArmyARMYTulaneTULN
0.1%

How American Athletic Conference Tiebreakers Work

Head-to-head → CFP rank / computer rankings → Common conference opponents → Overall winning percentage

Some tiebreaker steps involve factors like point differential that cannot be predicted before games are played, leading to uncertain outcomes.