Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
71.3%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | W41-13 | |
| 2 | 9/06 | W18-15 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | W34-14 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | W38-9 | |
| 5 | 9/28 | W34-28 | |
| 7 | 10/12 | W41-19 | |
| 8 | 10/18 | W38-35 | |
| 9 | 10/26 | W37-24 | |
| 11 | 11/09 | W22-21 | |
| 12 | 11/16 | L13-17 | |
| 13 | 11/23 | Win prob:51% | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:92% |
Data from 2024-11-17
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 8-1 | 46.4% | 100.0% |
| 7-2 | 49.6% | 50.1% |
| 6-3 | 4.0% | 0.7% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-11-17
Most Likely CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2024-11-17
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3% (+0.0%) | 71.2% (-0.1%) | |
| 98.3% (+27.0%) | 43.6% (-27.7%) | |
| 71.3% (-0.0%) | 71.3% (+0.0%) | |
| 71.1% (-0.2%) | 71.6% (+0.3%) | |
| 71.2% (-0.1%) | 71.6% (+0.3%) | |
| 71.0% (-0.3%) | 71.4% (+0.1%) | |
| 60.4% (-10.9%) | 83.1% (+11.8%) | |
| 67.2% (-4.1%) | 82.5% (+11.2%) |
Best Winner Combination for
BYU
KansasCCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 24.3%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
BYUCCG: 98.3% • Scenario: 50.6%
Ways for to Clinch 
CCG Spot This Week
BYUKansasBYU
UtahData from 2024-11-17
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Win out
100.0%
46.4%Any 1 loss
50.1%
49.6%
79.4%
4.2%
47.4%
45.4%0.7%
4.0%Data from 2024-11-17
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-11-17