OregonDucks

11-0 1st (8-0) in B1G

Data from 2024-11-24 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

95.1%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/31	vsIdahoIDHO	W24-14
2	9/07	vsBoise StateBOIS	W37-34
3	9/14	@Oregon StateORST	W49-14
5	9/28	@UCLAUCLA	W34-13
6	10/04	vsMichigan StateMSU	W31-10
7	10/12	vsOhio StateOSU	W32-31
8	10/18	@PurduePUR	W35-0
9	10/26	vsIllinoisILL	W38-9
10	11/02	@MichiganMICH	W38-17
11	11/09	vsMarylandMD	W39-18
12	11/16	@WisconsinWIS	W16-13
14	11/30	vsWashingtonWASH	Win prob:92%

Data from 2024-11-24 • SportsSimulate.com

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
9-0	92.3%	100.0%
8-1	7.7%	36.8%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-11-24 • SportsSimulate.com

if makes the CCG

84.9%

14.7%

0.5%

Data from 2024-11-24 • SportsSimulate.com

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
PurduePUR@IndianaIU	95.5% (+0.3%)	95.1% (+0.0%)
MinnesotaMINN@WisconsinWIS	93.7% (-1.5%)	96.3% (+1.2%)
RutgersRUTG@Michigan StateMSU	93.6% (-1.6%)	97.3% (+2.1%)
MichiganMICH@Ohio StateOSU	100.0% (+4.9%)	94.3% (-0.8%)
Notre DameND@USCUSC	95.1% (-0.0%)	95.2% (+0.0%)
Fresno StateFRES@UCLAUCLA	95.1% (+0.0%)	95.1% (+0.0%)
WashingtonWASH@OregonORE	36.8% (-58.3%)	100.0% (+4.9%)
NebraskaNEB@IowaIOWA	95.0% (-0.1%)	95.2% (+0.0%)
IllinoisILL@NorthwesternNU	95.2% (+0.0%)	95.1% (-0.0%)
MarylandMD@Penn StatePSU	100.0% (+4.9%)	95.0% (-0.2%)