Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.5%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | W31-7 | |
| 2 | 9/06 | W77-3 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | W42-13 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | W52-14 | |
| 5 | 9/28 | W42-28 | |
| 6 | 10/05 | W41-24 | |
| 8 | 10/19 | W56-7 | |
| 9 | 10/26 | W31-17 | |
| 10 | 11/02 | W47-10 | |
| 11 | 11/09 | W20-15 | |
| 13 | 11/23 | L15-38 | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:98% |
Data from 2024-11-24
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 8-1 | 98.5% | 0.5% |
| 7-2 | 1.5% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-11-24
This Week's Impact
| Game | ||
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (-0.5%) | 0.5% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.5% (+0.1%) | 0.4% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.5% (+0.0%) | 0.4% (-0.0%) | |
| 3.2% (+2.7%) | 0.0% (-0.5%) | |
| 0.4% (-0.0%) | 0.5% (+0.1%) | |
| 0.4% (-0.0%) | 0.5% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.5% (+0.0%) | 0.5% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.5% (+0.0%) | 0.5% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.5% (+0.0%) | 0.4% (-0.0%) | |
| 13.4% (+12.9%) | 0.0% (-0.5%) |
Best Winner Combination for 
CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.5%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for 
CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.5%
Ways for
to Clinch
CCG Spot This Week
Data from 2024-11-24
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-11-24