Conference USA Championship Probabilities
Simulated probabilities for conference championship game appearances• Data from 2024-11-24
Conference Standings
| 1 |  Jacksonville StateJXST | 7-0 | 8-3 | 100% | |
| T2 |  LibertyLIB | 5-2 | 8-2 | 65.0% | |
| T2 |  Sam HoustonSHSU | 5-2 | 8-3 | 24.1% | |
| T2 |  Western KentuckyWKU | 5-2 | 7-4 | 10.9% | |
| 5 |  Louisiana TechLT | 3-4 | 4-7 | - | |
| T6 |  Florida InternationalFIU | 2-5 | 3-8 | - | |
| T6 |  Kennesaw StateKENN | 2-5 | 2-9 | - | |
| T6 |  Middle TennesseeMTSU | 2-5 | 3-8 | - | |
| T6 |  New Mexico StateNMSU | 2-5 | 3-8 | - | |
| T6 |  UTEPUTEP | 2-5 | 2-9 | - | |
Based on 100,000 simulations • Data from 2024-11-24
Most Likely CCG Matchups
Data from 2024-11-24
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-11-24
This Week's Impact on CCG Odds
Current CCG Probability: 100.0%
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 100.0% (+0.0%) | 100.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 100.0% (+0.0%) | 100.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 100.0% (+0.0%) | 100.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 100.0% (+0.0%) | 100.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 100.0% (+0.0%) | 100.0% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Middle TennesseeCCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 25.0%
Ways for to Clinch CCG Spot This Week
Florida InternationalJacksonville StateLouisiana TechLibertyNew Mexico StateUTEPSam HoustonKennesaw StateWestern KentuckyMiddle TennesseeData from 2024-11-24
CCG Odds by Conference Record
Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record
| Team | 8-0 | 7-1 | 6-2 | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville StateJXST | 100% | 100% | - | 100% |
| LibertyLIB | - | - | 100% | 65.0% |
| Sam HoustonSHSU | - | - | 68.8% | 24.1% |
| Western KentuckyWKU | - | - | 34.7% | 10.9% |
| Florida InternationalFIU | - | - | - | - |
| Kennesaw StateKENN | - | - | - | - |
| Louisiana TechLT | - | - | - | - |
| Middle TennesseeMTSU | - | - | - | - |
| New Mexico StateNMSU | - | - | - | - |
| UTEPUTEP | - | - | - | - |
Data from 2024-11-24
Final Record Distribution
Probability of each team finishing with a given conference record
| Team | 8-0 | 7-1 | 6-2 | 5-3 | 4-4 | 3-5 | 2-6 | Avg Wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville StateJXST(7-0) | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | - | - | - | - | 7.7 |
| LibertyLIB(5-2) | - | - | 65.0% | 34.9% | - | - | - | 5.7 |
| Sam HoustonSHSU(5-2) | - | - | 34.9% | 65.0% | - | - | - | 5.3 |
| Western KentuckyWKU(5-2) | - | - | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | - | - | 5.3 |
| Louisiana TechLT(3-4) | - | - | - | - | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | 3.7 |
| Florida InternationalFIU(2-5) | - | - | - | - | - | 75.0% | 25.0% | 2.8 |
| New Mexico StateNMSU(2-5) | - | - | - | - | - | 63.6% | 36.4% | 2.6 |
| UTEPUTEP(2-5) | - | - | - | - | - | 36.4% | 63.6% | 2.4 |
| Kennesaw StateKENN(2-5) | - | - | - | - | - | 33.8% | 66.2% | 2.3 |
| Middle TennesseeMTSU(2-5) | - | - | - | - | - | 25.0% | 75.0% | 2.2 |
Data from 2024-11-24