Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
10.9%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | L0-63 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | W31-0 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | W49-21 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | W26-21 | |
| 5 | 9/28 | L20-21 | |
| 7 | 10/10 | W44-17 | |
| 8 | 10/16 | W31-14 | |
| 10 | 10/30 | W31-14 | |
| 11 | 11/09 | W41-28 | |
| 12 | 11/16 | L7-12 | |
| 13 | 11/23 | L21-38 | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:31% |
Data from 2024-11-24
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | 31.4% | 34.7% |
| 5-3 | 68.6% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-11-24
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 10.8% (-0.1%) | 10.9% (+0.0%) | |
| 11.0% (+0.1%) | 10.9% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-10.9%) | 34.7% (+23.8%) | |
| 0.0% (-10.9%) | 31.2% (+20.3%) | |
| 10.9% (+0.0%) | 10.9% (-0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Western Kentucky
Sam HoustonCCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 10.9%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
Western KentuckySam HoustonCCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 10.9%
Ways for to Clinch 
CCG Spot This Week
Western KentuckySam HoustonData from 2024-11-24
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Win out
34.7%
31.4%Data from 2024-11-24
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-11-24