Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
65.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | W41-24 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | W30-24 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | W28-10 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | W35-24 | |
| 5 | 9/28 | Win prob:66% | |
| 7 | 10/08 | W31-24 | |
| 9 | 10/23 | L24-27 | |
| 10 | 10/30 | L21-31 | |
| 11 | 11/09 | W37-17 | |
| 12 | 11/16 | W35-34 | |
| 13 | 11/23 | W38-21 | |
| 14 | 11/29 | Win prob:65% |
Data from 2024-11-24
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | 65.0% | 100.0% |
| 5-3 | 34.9% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-11-24
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 64.9% (-0.1%) | 65.1% (+0.1%) | |
| 64.8% (-0.2%) | 65.1% (+0.1%) | |
| 64.9% (-0.1%) | 65.3% (+0.3%) | |
| 100.0% (+34.9%) | 0.0% (-65.0%) | |
| 65.2% (+0.2%) | 64.9% (-0.1%) |
Best Winner Combination for
LibertyCCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 65.0%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
LibertyCCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 65.0%
Ways for to Clinch 
CCG Spot This Week
LibertyData from 2024-11-24
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Win out
100.0%
42.7%
100.0%
22.4%Data from 2024-11-24
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-11-24