Mid-American Conference Championship Probabilities
Simulated probabilities for conference championship game appearances• Data from 2024-11-24
Conference Standings
| T1 |  OhioOHIO | 6-1 | 8-3 | 95.9% | |
| T1 |  Miami (OH)M-OH | 6-1 | 7-4 | 51.0% | |
| T1 |  Bowling GreenBGSU | 6-1 | 7-4 | 50.9% | |
| 4 |  BuffaloBUF | 5-2 | 7-4 | 2.2% | |
| T5 |  ToledoTOL | 4-3 | 7-4 | - | |
| T5 |  Western MichiganWMU | 4-3 | 5-6 | - | |
| 7 |  Northern IllinoisNIU | 3-4 | 6-5 | - | |
| T8 |  AkronAKR | 2-5 | 3-8 | - | |
| T8 |  Ball StateBALL | 2-5 | 3-8 | - | |
| T8 |  Central MichiganCMU | 2-5 | 4-7 | - | |
| T8 |  Eastern MichiganEMU | 2-5 | 5-6 | - | |
| 12 |  Kent StateKENT | 0-7 | 0-11 | - | |
Based on 100,000 simulations • Data from 2024-11-24
Most Likely CCG Matchups
Data from 2024-11-24
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-11-24
This Week's Impact on CCG Odds
Current CCG Probability: 95.9%
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 96.0% (+0.1%) | 95.9% (+0.0%) | |
| 95.7% (-0.2%) | 95.9% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-95.9%) | 100.0% (+4.1%) | |
| 95.9% (+0.0%) | 95.9% (-0.0%) | |
| 95.9% (+0.0%) | 95.7% (-0.2%) | |
| 96.0% (+0.1%) | 95.8% (-0.1%) |
Best Winner Combination for
OhioCCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 95.9%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
OhioCCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 95.9%
Ways for to Clinch CCG Spot This Week
OhioData from 2024-11-24
CCG Odds by Conference Record
Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record
| Team | 7-1 | 6-2 | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| OhioOHIO | 100% | - | 95.9% |
| Miami (OH)M-OH | 100% | 0.2% | 51.0% |
| Bowling GreenBGSU | 100% | 3.6% | 50.9% |
| BuffaloBUF | - | 2.3% | 2.2% |
| AkronAKR | - | - | - |
| Ball StateBALL | - | - | - |
| Central MichiganCMU | - | - | - |
| Eastern MichiganEMU | - | - | - |
| Kent StateKENT | - | - | - |
| Northern IllinoisNIU | - | - | - |
| ToledoTOL | - | - | - |
| Western MichiganWMU | - | - | - |
Data from 2024-11-24
Final Record Distribution
Probability of each team finishing with a given conference record
| Team | 7-1 | 6-2 | 5-3 | 4-4 | 3-5 | 2-6 | 1-7 | 0-8 | Avg Wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OhioOHIO(6-1) | 95.9% | 4.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7.0 |
| Miami (OH)M-OH(6-1) | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6.5 |
| Bowling GreenBGSU(6-1) | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6.5 |
| BuffaloBUF(5-2) | - | 94.9% | 5.1% | - | - | - | - | - | 5.9 |
| ToledoTOL(4-3) | - | - | 86.4% | 13.6% | - | - | - | - | 4.9 |
| Western MichiganWMU(4-3) | - | - | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | - | - | - | 4.7 |
| Northern IllinoisNIU(3-4) | - | - | - | 91.4% | 8.6% | - | - | - | 3.9 |
| Eastern MichiganEMU(2-5) | - | - | - | - | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | - | 2.3 |
| AkronAKR(2-5) | - | - | - | - | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | - | 2.1 |
| Central MichiganCMU(2-5) | - | - | - | - | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | - | 2.1 |
| Ball StateBALL(2-5) | - | - | - | - | 4.1% | 95.9% | - | - | 2.0 |
| Kent StateKENT(0-7) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5.1% | 94.9% | 0.1 |
Data from 2024-11-24