Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
95.9%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | L22-38 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | W27-20 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | W21-6 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | L6-41 | |
| 5 | 9/28 | W30-10 | |
| 7 | 10/12 | W27-25 | |
| 8 | 10/19 | L20-30 | |
| 9 | 10/26 | W47-16 | |
| 11 | 11/06 | W41-0 | |
| 12 | 11/13 | W35-10 | |
| 13 | 11/20 | W24-7 | |
| 14 | 11/29 | Win prob:96% |
Data from 2024-11-24
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 7-1 | 95.9% | 100.0% |
| 6-2 | 4.1% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-11-24
This Week's Impact
| Game | ||
|---|---|---|
| 96.0% (+0.1%) | 95.9% (+0.0%) | |
| 95.7% (-0.2%) | 95.9% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-95.9%) | 100.0% (+4.1%) | |
| 95.9% (+0.0%) | 95.9% (-0.0%) | |
| 95.9% (+0.0%) | 95.7% (-0.2%) | |
| 96.0% (+0.1%) | 95.8% (-0.1%) |
Best Winner Combination for 
CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 95.9%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for 
CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 95.9%
Ways for
to Clinch
CCG Spot This Week
Data from 2024-11-24
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
95.9%Data from 2024-11-24
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-11-24