BuffaloBulls

7-4 4th (5-2) in MAC

Data from 2024-11-24 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

2.2%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/29	vsLafayetteLAF	W30-13
2	9/07	@MissouriMIZ	L0-38
3	9/14	vsMassachusettsMASS	W34-3
4	9/21	@Northern IllinoisNIU	W23-20
5	9/28	@UConnCONN	L3-47
7	10/12	vsToledoTOL	W30-15
8	10/19	vsWestern MichiganWMU	L41-48
9	10/26	@OhioOHIO	L16-47
10	11/02	@AkronAKR	W41-30
12	11/12	vsBall StateBALL	W51-48
13	11/20	@Eastern MichiganEMU	W37-20
14	11/26	vsKent StateKENT	Win prob:95%

Data from 2024-11-24 • SportsSimulate.com

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
6-2	94.9%	2.3%
5-3	5.1%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-11-24 • SportsSimulate.com

if makes the CCG

87.3%

12.7%

Data from 2024-11-24 • SportsSimulate.com

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
Kent StateKENT@BuffaloBUF	0.0% (-2.2%)	2.3% (+0.1%)
Central MichiganCMU@Northern IllinoisNIU	2.0% (-0.2%)	2.2% (+0.0%)
Ball StateBALL@OhioOHIO	53.5% (+51.3%)	0.0% (-2.2%)
Miami (OH)M-OH@Bowling GreenBGSU	0.5% (-1.7%)	3.9% (+1.7%)
ToledoTOL@AkronAKR	2.2% (-0.0%)	2.3% (+0.1%)
Eastern MichiganEMU@Western MichiganWMU	2.8% (+0.5%)	1.9% (-0.3%)

Buffalo

Ball State

Bowling Green

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 1.9%

Buffalo

Ball State

CCG: 56.3% • Scenario: 3.9%

Buffalo

Ball State

Bowling Green

1.9%

Data from 2024-11-24 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

2.3%

94.9%

Data from 2024-11-24 • SportsSimulate.com

Data from 2024-11-24 • SportsSimulate.com