Sun Belt Conference Tiebreaker Scenarios
Scenarios where tiebreakers determine conference championship game participants
21 of 21 scenarios
| Scenario | CCG Matchup | Probability |
|---|---|---|
 Georgia SouthernGASO South AlabamaUSA | 18.7% | |
Georgia SouthernGASO LouisianaUL | 15.8% | |
 App StateAPPSouth AlabamaUSA | 11.4% | |
| Georgia SouthernGASOSouth AlabamaUSA | 6.8% | |
| Georgia SouthernGASOLouisianaUL | 5.7% | |
| App StateAPPSouth AlabamaUSA | 4.1% | |
| App StateAPPLouisianaUL | 3.5% | |
| Georgia SouthernGASOSouth AlabamaUSA | 1.5% | |
Georgia SouthernGASO Texas StateTXST | 1.3% | |
| App StateAPPSouth AlabamaUSA | 0.9% | |
| Georgia SouthernGASOSouth AlabamaUSA | 0.5% | |
| Georgia SouthernGASOTexas StateTXST | 0.5% | |
| Georgia SouthernGASOSouth AlabamaUSA | 0.4% | |
| App StateAPPSouth AlabamaUSA | 0.3% | |
| Georgia SouthernGASOTexas StateTXST | 0.3% | |
| App StateAPPTexas StateTXST | 0.3% | |
 MarshallMRSHSouth AlabamaUSA | 0.2% | |
| Georgia SouthernGASOTexas StateTXST | 0.1% | |
| Georgia SouthernGASOSouth AlabamaUSA | <0.1% | |
| MarshallMRSHSouth AlabamaUSA | <0.1% | |
| MarshallMRSHTexas StateTXST | <0.1% |
How 
Tiebreakers Work
Divisional (East vs. West): each division champion is decided by head-to-head → next-highest team → non-divisional common opponents → strength of schedule, then the two champions meet in the CCG
Some tiebreaker steps involve factors like point differential that cannot be predicted before games are played, leading to uncertain outcomes.