Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
6.8%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | W45-3 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | L14-31 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | L14-49 | |
| 5 | 9/28 | W27-20 | |
| 6 | 10/05 | W52-37 | |
| 7 | 10/12 | L23-24 | |
| 8 | 10/17 | W35-20 | |
| 10 | 11/02 | W28-23 | |
| 11 | 11/09 | W37-3 | |
| 12 | 11/16 | W31-19 | |
| 13 | 11/23 | W42-35 | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:18% |
Data from 2024-11-24
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 7-1 | 18.3% | 37.2% |
| 6-2 | 81.7% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-11-24
Most Likely CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2024-11-24
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 7.2% (+0.4%) | 6.8% (-0.0%) | |
| 6.8% (-0.0%) | 6.9% (+0.0%) | |
| 18.0% (+11.2%) | 0.0% (-6.8%) | |
| 37.2% (+30.4%) | 0.0% (-6.8%) | |
| 6.9% (+0.0%) | 6.7% (-0.1%) | |
| 6.9% (+0.1%) | 6.8% (-0.0%) | |
| 6.8% (-0.0%) | 7.1% (+0.3%) |
Best Winner Combination for
App StateMarshallCCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 6.8%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
App StateMarshallCCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 6.8%
Ways for to Clinch 
CCG Spot This Week
App StateMarshallData from 2024-11-24
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Win out
37.2%
18.3%Data from 2024-11-24
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-11-24