Sun Belt Conference Tiebreaker Scenarios

Scenarios where tiebreakers determine conference championship game participants

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50 of 66 scenarios

Scenario	CCG Matchup	Probability
9-0 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Southern MissUSM TroyTROY	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 55.7% James MadisonJMUSouthern MissUSM 44.3%	5.1%
9-0 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Old DominionODU Southern MissUSM TroyTROY	James MadisonJMUTroyTROY	3.7%
9-0 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Coastal CarolinaCCU Southern MissUSM TroyTROY	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 55.5% James MadisonJMUSouthern MissUSM 44.5%	3.7%
9-0 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Old DominionODU Southern MissUSM	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMUSouthern MissUSM 87.6% James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 12.4%	3.0%
9-0 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Old DominionODU TroyTROY	James MadisonJMUTroyTROY	2.8%
9-0 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Coastal CarolinaCCU Old DominionODU Southern MissUSM TroyTROY	James MadisonJMUTroyTROY	2.7%
9-0 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Coastal CarolinaCCU Old DominionODU TroyTROY	James MadisonJMUTroyTROY	2.1%
9-0 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Coastal CarolinaCCU Old DominionODU Southern MissUSM	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMUSouthern MissUSM 87.8% James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 12.2%	2.1%
9-0 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Coastal CarolinaCCU TroyTROY	James MadisonJMUTroyTROY	1.6%
9-0 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Coastal CarolinaCCU Southern MissUSM	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMUSouthern MissUSM 87.0% James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 13.0%	1.5%
9-0 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Arkansas StateARST Southern MissUSM TroyTROY	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 54.7% James MadisonJMUSouthern MissUSM 45.3%	1.3%
9-0 James MadisonJMU 8-1 Southern MissUSM TroyTROY	James MadisonJMUTroyTROY	1.1%
9-0 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Arkansas StateARST Old DominionODU Southern MissUSM TroyTROY	James MadisonJMUTroyTROY	1.0%
9-0 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Arkansas StateARST Coastal CarolinaCCU Southern MissUSM TroyTROY	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 55.1% James MadisonJMUSouthern MissUSM 44.9%	0.9%
9-0 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Arkansas StateARST Old DominionODU Southern MissUSM	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMUSouthern MissUSM 86.5% James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 13.5%	0.8%
9-0 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Arkansas StateARST Old DominionODU TroyTROY	James MadisonJMUTroyTROY	0.8%
9-0 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Arkansas StateARST Coastal CarolinaCCU Old DominionODU Southern MissUSM TroyTROY	James MadisonJMUTroyTROY	0.7%
8-1 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Coastal CarolinaCCU Southern MissUSM TroyTROY	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 56.0% James MadisonJMUSouthern MissUSM 44.0%	0.6%
9-0 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Arkansas StateARST Coastal CarolinaCCU Old DominionODU Southern MissUSM	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMUSouthern MissUSM 87.2% James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 12.8%	0.6%
9-0 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Arkansas StateARST TroyTROY	James MadisonJMUTroyTROY	0.6%
9-0 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Arkansas StateARST Southern MissUSM	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMUSouthern MissUSM 88.8% James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 11.2%	0.6%
9-0 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Arkansas StateARST Coastal CarolinaCCU Old DominionODU TroyTROY	James MadisonJMUTroyTROY	0.6%
8-1 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Coastal CarolinaCCU Old DominionODU Southern MissUSM TroyTROY	James MadisonJMUTroyTROY	0.4%
9-0 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Arkansas StateARST Coastal CarolinaCCU TroyTROY	James MadisonJMUTroyTROY	0.4%
9-0 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Arkansas StateARST Coastal CarolinaCCU Southern MissUSM	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMUSouthern MissUSM 87.5% James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 12.5%	0.4%
8-1 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Coastal CarolinaCCU Old DominionODU Southern MissUSM	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMUSouthern MissUSM 88.2% James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 11.8%	0.3%
8-1 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Coastal CarolinaCCU Old DominionODU TroyTROY	James MadisonJMUTroyTROY	0.3%
8-1 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Coastal CarolinaCCU TroyTROY	James MadisonJMUTroyTROY	0.3%
8-1 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Southern MissUSM TroyTROY	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 54.5% James MadisonJMUSouthern MissUSM 45.5%	0.2%
8-1 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Coastal CarolinaCCU Southern MissUSM	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMUSouthern MissUSM 86.6% James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 13.4%	0.2%
9-0 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Coastal CarolinaCCU Old DominionODU	James MadisonJMUTroyTROY	0.2%
8-1 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Old DominionODU Southern MissUSM TroyTROY	James MadisonJMUTroyTROY	0.2%
8-1 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Old DominionODU Southern MissUSM	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMUSouthern MissUSM 83.3% James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 16.7%	0.2%
8-1 Coastal CarolinaCCU James MadisonJMU Southern MissUSM	CCG participants not 100% certain Coastal CarolinaCCUSouthern MissUSM 97.1% Coastal CarolinaCCUTroyTROY 2.9%	0.2%
8-1 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Arkansas StateARST Coastal CarolinaCCU Southern MissUSM TroyTROY	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 60.3% James MadisonJMUSouthern MissUSM 39.7%	0.2%
8-1 Coastal CarolinaCCU James MadisonJMU TroyTROY	Coastal CarolinaCCUTroyTROY	0.1%
8-1 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Old DominionODU TroyTROY	James MadisonJMUTroyTROY	0.1%
8-1 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Arkansas StateARST Coastal CarolinaCCU Old DominionODU Southern MissUSM TroyTROY	James MadisonJMUTroyTROY	0.1%
8-1 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Arkansas StateARST Coastal CarolinaCCU Old DominionODU TroyTROY	James MadisonJMUTroyTROY	0.1%
9-0 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Arkansas StateARST Old DominionODU	James MadisonJMUTroyTROY	<0.1%
8-1 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Arkansas StateARST Coastal CarolinaCCU TroyTROY	James MadisonJMUTroyTROY	<0.1%
8-1 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Arkansas StateARST Coastal CarolinaCCU Old DominionODU Southern MissUSM	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMUSouthern MissUSM 79.5% James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 20.5%	<0.1%
9-0 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Arkansas StateARST Coastal CarolinaCCU Old DominionODU	James MadisonJMUTroyTROY	<0.1%
8-1 Coastal CarolinaCCU James MadisonJMU Southern MissUSM TroyTROY	Coastal CarolinaCCUTroyTROY	<0.1%
8-1 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Arkansas StateARST Southern MissUSM TroyTROY	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMUSouthern MissUSM 54.7% James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 45.3%	<0.1%
8-1 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Arkansas StateARST Coastal CarolinaCCU Southern MissUSM	CCG participants not 100% certain James MadisonJMUSouthern MissUSM 91.8% James MadisonJMUTroyTROY 8.2%	<0.1%
8-1 James MadisonJMU Southern MissUSM TroyTROY	James MadisonJMUTroyTROY	<0.1%
9-0 Southern MissUSM 8-1 Coastal CarolinaCCU James MadisonJMU	Coastal CarolinaCCUSouthern MissUSM	<0.1%
9-0 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Arkansas StateARST Coastal CarolinaCCU	James MadisonJMUTroyTROY	<0.1%
8-1 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Coastal CarolinaCCU Old DominionODU	James MadisonJMUTroyTROY	<0.1%

How Tiebreakers Work

Divisional (East vs. West): each division champion is decided by head-to-head → next-highest team → non-divisional common opponents → strength of schedule, then the two champions meet in the CCG

Some tiebreaker steps involve factors like point differential that cannot be predicted before games are played, leading to uncertain outcomes.