MichiganWolverines

9-2 T3rd (7-1) in B1G

Data from 2025-11-23 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

2.9%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/30	vsNew MexicoUNM	W34-17
2	9/06	@OklahomaOU	L13-24
3	9/13	vsCentral MichiganCMU	W63-3
4	9/20	@NebraskaNEB	W30-27
6	10/04	vsWisconsinWIS	W24-10
7	10/11	@USCUSC	L13-31
8	10/18	vsWashingtonWASH	W24-7
9	10/25	@Michigan StateMSU	W31-20
10	11/01	vsPurduePUR	W21-16
12	11/15	vsNorthwesternNU(N)	W24-22
13	11/22	@MarylandMD	W45-20
14	11/29	vsOhio StateOSU	Win prob:16%

Data from 2025-11-23 • SportsSimulate.com

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
8-1	15.7%	18.6%
7-2	84.3%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-11-23 • SportsSimulate.com

if makes the CCG

95.6%

3.4%

1.0%

Data from 2025-11-23 • SportsSimulate.com

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
NorthwesternNU@IllinoisILL	3.0% (+0.0%)	2.9% (-0.0%)
Ohio StateOSU@MichiganMICH	0.0% (-2.9%)	18.6% (+15.7%)
IowaIOWA@NebraskaNEB	3.0% (+0.0%)	2.8% (-0.1%)
WisconsinWIS@MinnesotaMINN	2.8% (-0.1%)	3.0% (+0.1%)
OregonORE@WashingtonWASH	0.1% (-2.8%)	15.5% (+12.6%)
UCLAUCLA@USCUSC	2.8% (-0.1%)	2.9% (+0.0%)
Penn StatePSU@RutgersRUTG	2.9% (+0.0%)	2.8% (-0.1%)
MarylandMD@Michigan StateMSU	3.0% (+0.1%)	2.9% (-0.1%)
IndianaIU@PurduePUR	2.8% (-0.1%)	12.8% (+9.9%)