OregonDucks

10-1 T3rd (7-1) in B1G

Data from 2025-11-23 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

12.9%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/30	vsMontana StateMTST	W59-13
2	9/06	vsOklahoma StateOKST	W69-3
3	9/13	@NorthwesternNU	W34-14
4	9/20	vsOregon StateORST	W41-7
5	9/27	@Penn StatePSU	W30-24
7	10/11	vsIndianaIU	L20-30
8	10/18	@RutgersRUTG	W56-10
9	10/25	vsWisconsinWIS	W21-7
11	11/08	@IowaIOWA	W18-16
12	11/14	vsMinnesotaMINN	W42-13
13	11/22	vsUSCUSC	W42-27
14	11/29	@WashingtonWASH	Win prob:82%

Data from 2025-11-23 • SportsSimulate.com

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
8-1	81.7%	15.8%
7-2	18.3%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-11-23 • SportsSimulate.com

if makes the CCG

98.9%

0.8%

0.3%

Data from 2025-11-23 • SportsSimulate.com

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
NorthwesternNU@IllinoisILL	13.2% (+0.3%)	12.8% (-0.1%)
Ohio StateOSU@MichiganMICH	0.0% (-12.9%)	82.0% (+69.1%)
IowaIOWA@NebraskaNEB	13.0% (+0.1%)	12.7% (-0.2%)
WisconsinWIS@MinnesotaMINN	12.6% (-0.3%)	13.1% (+0.2%)
OregonORE@WashingtonWASH	15.8% (+2.9%)	0.0% (-12.9%)
UCLAUCLA@USCUSC	12.8% (-0.1%)	12.9% (+0.0%)
Penn StatePSU@RutgersRUTG	12.9% (+0.0%)	12.6% (-0.3%)
MarylandMD@Michigan StateMSU	12.9% (-0.0%)	13.0% (+0.1%)
IndianaIU@PurduePUR	12.9% (-0.0%)	13.5% (+0.6%)