Big XII Championship Probabilities
Simulated probabilities for conference championship game appearances• Data from 2025-11-23
Conference Standings
| T1 |  Texas TechTTU | 7-1 | 10-1 | 98.2% | |
| T1 |  BYUBYU | 7-1 | 10-1 | 93.4% | |
| T3 |  Arizona StateASU | 6-2 | 8-3 | 6.8% | |
| T3 |  UtahUTAH | 6-2 | 9-2 | 1.6% | |
| T5 |  ArizonaARIZ | 5-3 | 8-3 | - | |
| T5 |  CincinnatiCIN | 5-3 | 7-4 | - | |
| T5 |  HoustonHOU | 5-3 | 8-3 | - | |
| T8 |  Iowa StateISU | 4-4 | 7-4 | - | |
| T8 |  Kansas StateKSU | 4-4 | 5-6 | - | |
| T8 |  TCUTCU | 4-4 | 7-4 | - | |
| T11 |  BaylorBAY | 3-5 | 5-6 | - | |
| T11 |  KansasKU | 3-5 | 5-6 | - | |
| T13 |  UCFUCF | 2-6 | 5-6 | - | |
| T13 |  West VirginiaWVU | 2-6 | 4-7 | - | |
| 15 |  ColoradoCOLO | 1-7 | 3-8 | - | |
| 16 |  Oklahoma StateOKST | 0-8 | 1-10 | - | |
Based on 100,000 simulations • Data from 2025-11-23
Most Likely CCG Matchups
Data from 2025-11-23
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2025-11-23
This Week's Impact on CCG Odds
Current CCG Probability: 98.2%
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 100.0% (+1.8%) | 97.0% (-1.2%) | |
| 98.2% (+0.1%) | 98.1% (-0.0%) | |
| 98.2% (+0.0%) | 97.9% (-0.3%) | |
| 98.0% (-0.2%) | 98.2% (+0.0%) | |
| 100.0% (+1.8%) | 44.5% (-53.6%) | |
| 98.2% (+0.0%) | 98.2% (-0.0%) | |
| 99.8% (+1.6%) | 98.0% (-0.2%) | |
| 98.2% (+0.0%) | 98.2% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
ArizonaCCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 39.1%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
Texas TechCCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 96.7%
Ways for to Clinch CCG Spot This Week
Texas TechArizonaUtahUCFColoradoBaylorUCFUCFOklahoma StateCincinnatiColoradoUCFUtahColoradoHoustonOklahoma StateTCUColoradoHoustonOklahoma StateData from 2025-11-23
CCG Odds by Conference Record
Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record
| Team | 8-1 | 7-2 | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas TechTTU | 100% | 44.5% | 98.2% |
| BYUBYU | 100% | 40.0% | 93.4% |
| Arizona StateASU | - | 11.2% | 6.8% |
| UtahUTAH | - | 1.8% | 1.6% |
| ArizonaARIZ | - | - | - |
| BaylorBAY | - | - | - |
| CincinnatiCIN | - | - | - |
| ColoradoCOLO | - | - | - |
| HoustonHOU | - | - | - |
| Iowa StateISU | - | - | - |
| KansasKU | - | - | - |
| Kansas StateKSU | - | - | - |
| Oklahoma StateOKST | - | - | - |
| TCUTCU | - | - | - |
| UCFUCF | - | - | - |
| West VirginiaWVU | - | - | - |
Data from 2025-11-23
Final Record Distribution
Probability of each team finishing with a given conference record
| Team | 8-1 | 7-2 | 6-3 | 5-4 | 4-5 | 3-6 | 2-7 | 1-8 | 0-9 | Avg Wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas TechTTU(7-1) | 96.7% | 3.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8.0 |
| BYUBYU(7-1) | 89.0% | 11.0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7.9 |
| UtahUTAH(6-2) | - | 89.2% | 10.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6.9 |
| Arizona StateASU(6-2) | - | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6.6 |
| ArizonaARIZ(5-3) | - | - | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | - | - | - | - | 5.4 |
| CincinnatiCIN(5-3) | - | - | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | - | - | - | - | 5.4 |
| HoustonHOU(5-3) | - | - | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | - | - | - | - | 5.3 |
| Iowa StateISU(4-4) | - | - | - | 93.5% | 6.5% | - | - | - | - | 4.9 |
| Kansas StateKSU(4-4) | - | - | - | 88.4% | 11.6% | - | - | - | - | 4.9 |
| TCUTCU(4-4) | - | - | - | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | - | - | - | 4.6 |
| BaylorBAY(3-5) | - | - | - | - | 71.9% | 28.1% | - | - | - | 3.7 |
| KansasKU(3-5) | - | - | - | - | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | - | - | 3.1 |
| UCFUCF(2-6) | - | - | - | - | - | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | - | 2.1 |
| West VirginiaWVU(2-6) | - | - | - | - | - | 3.3% | 96.7% | - | - | 2.0 |
| ColoradoCOLO(1-7) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | 1.1 |
| Oklahoma StateOKST(0-8) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6.5% | 93.5% | 0.1 |
Data from 2025-11-23