Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
1.6%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/30 | W43-10 | |
| 2 | 9/06 | W63-9 | |
| 3 | 9/13 | W31-6 | |
| 4 | 9/20 | L10-34 | |
| 5 | 9/27 | W48-14 | |
| 7 | 10/11 | W42-10 | |
| 8 | 10/18 | L21-24 | |
| 9 | 10/25 | W53-7 | |
| 10 | 11/01 | W45-14 | |
| 12 | 11/15 | W55-28 | |
| 13 | 11/22 | W51-47 | |
| 14 | 11/28 | Win prob:89% |
Data from 2025-11-23
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 7-2 | 89.2% | 1.8% |
| 6-3 | 10.8% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2025-11-23
This Week's Impact
| Game | ||
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (-1.6%) | 2.6% (+1.0%) | |
| 1.6% (-0.1%) | 1.7% (+0.0%) | |
| 1.8% (+0.2%) | 0.0% (-1.6%) | |
| 1.7% (+0.1%) | 1.6% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-1.6%) | 48.6% (+47.0%) | |
| 1.6% (-0.1%) | 1.6% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-1.6%) | 1.8% (+0.2%) | |
| 1.6% (-0.0%) | 1.7% (+0.1%) |
Best Winner Combination for 
CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 1.6%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for 
CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 1.6%
Ways for
to Clinch
CCG Spot This Week
Data from 2025-11-23
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
Likelihood
Win out
1.8%
89.2%Data from 2025-11-23
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2025-11-23