Mid-American Conference

Mid-American Conference Championship Probabilities

Simulated probabilities for conference championship game appearances• Data from 2025-11-23

Mid-American ConferenceConference Standings

1W MichiganWMU6-17-493.3%
T2ToledoTOL5-27-454.1%
T2Miami OHM-OH5-26-545.5%
T2C MichiganCMU5-27-44.7%
T2OhioOHIO5-27-42.5%
6BuffaloBUF4-35-6-
7AkronAKR4-45-7-
T8Ball StBALL3-44-7-
T8E MichiganEMU3-44-7-
T8KentKENT3-44-7-
11N IllinoisNIU2-53-8-
12Bowling GreenBGSU1-63-8-
13MassachusettsMASS0-70-11-

Based on 100,000 simulations • Data from 2025-11-23 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Mid-American Conference CCG Matchups

153.4%
ToledoTOL
vs
WMUW Michigan
238.7%
Miami OHM-OH
vs
WMUW Michigan
33.9%
C MichiganCMU
vs
M-OHMiami OH
42.1%
Miami OHM-OH
vs
OHIOOhio
50.8%
C MichiganCMU
vs
WMUW Michigan
60.7%
Miami OHM-OH
vs
TOLToledo
70.4%
OhioOHIO
vs
WMUW Michigan

Data from 2025-11-23 • SportsSimulate.com

Mid-American ConferenceCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10Week 11Week 12Week 13Week 14

Data from 2025-11-23 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact on Mid-American Conference CCG Odds

Current CCG Probability: 93.3%
Game
W MichiganCCG OddsAway
W MichiganCCG OddsHome
Bowling GreenBGSU@MassachusettsMASS
93.2%
(-0.0%)		93.7%
(+0.4%)
Ball StBALL@Miami OHM-OH
100.0%
(+6.7%)		92.8%
(-0.5%)
ToledoTOL@C MichiganCMU
99.1%
(+5.9%)		63.5%
(-29.8%)
KentKENT@N IllinoisNIU
87.8%
(-5.5%)		93.9%
(+0.7%)
OhioOHIO@BuffaloBUF
94.0%
(+0.7%)		90.8%
(-2.4%)
W MichiganWMU@E MichiganEMU
100.0%
(+6.7%)		82.7%
(-10.6%)

Best Winner Combination for W Michigan

Ball StBall State

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 7.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for W Michigan

ToledoToledoN IllinoisNorthern Illinois

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 74.6%

Ways for W Michigan to Clinch Mid-American Conference CCG Spot This Week

ToledoToledoN IllinoisNorthern Illinois
74.6%
ToledoToledoOhioOhio
64.3%
W MichiganWestern Michigan
61.2%
Ball StBall State
7.0%
MassachusettsMassachusettsToledoToledo
5.7%

Data from 2025-11-23 • SportsSimulate.com

Mid-American ConferenceCCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team7-16-2Overall
W MichiganWMU100%82.7%93.3%
ToledoTOL-64.8%54.1%
Miami OHM-OH-48.9%45.5%
C MichiganCMU-28.4%4.7%
OhioOHIO-3.2%2.5%
AkronAKR---
Ball StBALL---
Bowling GreenBGSU---
BuffaloBUF---
E MichiganEMU---
KentKENT---
MassachusettsMASS---
N IllinoisNIU---

Data from 2025-11-23 • SportsSimulate.com

Mid-American ConferenceFinal Record Distribution

Probability of each team finishing with a given conference record

Team7-16-25-34-43-52-61-70-8Avg Wins
W MichiganWMU(6-1)61.2%38.9%------6.6
Miami OHM-OH(5-2)-93.0%7.0%-----5.9
ToledoTOL(5-2)-83.5%16.5%-----5.8
OhioOHIO(5-2)-76.9%23.1%-----5.8
C MichiganCMU(5-2)-16.5%83.5%-----5.2
BuffaloBUF(4-3)--23.1%76.9%----4.2
AkronAKR(4-4)---100%----4.0
E MichiganEMU(3-4)---38.9%61.2%---3.4
KentKENT(3-4)---10.6%89.4%---3.1
Ball StBALL(3-4)---7.0%93.0%---3.1
N IllinoisNIU(2-5)----89.4%10.6%--2.9
Bowling GreenBGSU(1-6)-----93.2%6.8%-1.9
MassachusettsMASS(0-7)------6.8%93.2%0.1

Data from 2025-11-23 • SportsSimulate.com