OhioBobcats

7-4 T2nd (5-2) in MAC

Data from 2025-11-23 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

2.5%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/28	@RutgersRUTG	L31-34
2	9/06	vsWest VirginiaWVU	W17-10
3	9/13	@Ohio StateOSU	L9-37
4	9/20	vsGardner-WebbGWEB	W52-35
5	9/27	vsBowling GreenBGSU	W35-20
6	10/04	@Ball StateBALL	L14-20
8	10/18	vsNorthern IllinoisNIU	W48-21
9	10/25	@Eastern MichiganEMU	W28-21
10	11/04	vsMiami (OH)M-OH	W24-20
11	11/11	@Western MichiganWMU	L13-17
12	11/18	vsMassachusettsMASS	W42-14
14	11/28	@BuffaloBUF	Win prob:77%

Data from 2025-11-23 • SportsSimulate.com

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
6-2	76.9%	3.2%
5-3	23.1%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-11-23 • SportsSimulate.com

if makes the CCG

84.7%

15.3%

Data from 2025-11-23 • SportsSimulate.com

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
Bowling GreenBGSU@MassachusettsMASS	2.5% (-0.0%)	2.6% (+0.1%)
Ball StateBALL@Miami (OH)M-OH	5.4% (+2.9%)	2.3% (-0.2%)
ToledoTOL@Central MichiganCMU	0.0% (-2.5%)	15.0% (+12.6%)
Kent StateKENT@Northern IllinoisNIU	0.0% (-2.5%)	2.8% (+0.3%)
OhioOHIO@BuffaloBUF	3.2% (+0.7%)	0.0% (-2.5%)
Western MichiganWMU@Eastern MichiganEMU	0.4% (-2.1%)	5.8% (+3.3%)

Massachusetts

Miami (OH)

Central Michigan

Northern Illinois

Ohio

Eastern Michigan

CCG: 52.0% • Scenario: 0.3%

Central Michigan

Northern Illinois

Ohio

CCG: 21.7% • Scenario: 11.4%

Data from 2025-11-23 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

3.2%

76.9%

Data from 2025-11-23 • SportsSimulate.com

Data from 2025-11-23 • SportsSimulate.com