Mountain West Conference Tiebreaker Scenarios

Scenarios where tiebreakers determine conference championship game participants

4 of 4 scenarios

ScenarioCCG MatchupProbability
7-2
Boise StBOISNew MexicoUNMSan Diego StSDSUUNLVUNLV
Boise StBOISNew MexicoUNM
27.1%
8-1
San Diego StSDSU
7-2
Boise StBOISUNLVUNLV
Boise StBOISSan Diego StSDSU
26.3%
7-2
New MexicoUNMSan Diego StSDSUUNLVUNLV
New MexicoUNMUNLVUNLV
14.4%
7-2
Boise StBOISNew MexicoUNMSan Diego StSDSU

CCG participants not 100% certain

Boise StBOISNew MexicoUNM
72.0%
Boise StBOISSan Diego StSDSU
28.0%
6.0%

How Mountain West Conference Tiebreakers Work

Head-to-head → CFP rank / computer rankings → Overall winning percentage → Next-highest team → Common conference opponents

Some tiebreaker steps involve factors like point differential that cannot be predicted before games are played, leading to uncertain outcomes.