Sun Belt Conference Tiebreaker Scenarios

Scenarios where tiebreakers determine conference championship game participants

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6 of 6 scenarios

Scenario	CCG Matchup	Probability
9-0 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Old DominionODU TroyTROY	James MadisonJMUTroyTROY	45.6%
9-0 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Old DominionODU Southern MissUSM	James MadisonJMUSouthern MissUSM	44.8%
8-1 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Coastal CarolinaCCU Old DominionODU Southern MissUSM	James MadisonJMUSouthern MissUSM	2.4%
8-1 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Coastal CarolinaCCU Old DominionODU TroyTROY	James MadisonJMUTroyTROY	2.3%
8-1 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Coastal CarolinaCCU Southern MissUSM	James MadisonJMUSouthern MissUSM	0.1%
8-1 James MadisonJMU 7-2 Coastal CarolinaCCU TroyTROY	James MadisonJMUTroyTROY	0.1%

How Tiebreakers Work

Divisional (East vs. West): each division champion is decided by head-to-head → next-highest team → non-divisional common opponents → strength of schedule, then the two champions meet in the CCG

Some tiebreaker steps involve factors like point differential that cannot be predicted before games are played, leading to uncertain outcomes.