Marshall

MarshallThundering Herd

0-0 T1st (0-0) in SBC

Data from 2024-08-23 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

2.5%

Based on 100,000 simulations

MarshallSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/31
vsStony BrookSTBK
Win prob:90%
29/07
@Virginia TechVT
Win prob:22%
49/21
@Ohio StOSU
Win prob:4%
59/28
vsW MichiganWMU
Win prob:71%
610/05
vsAppalachian StAPP
Win prob:34%
710/12
@Ga SouthernGASO
Win prob:46%
810/17
vsGeorgia StGAST
Win prob:63%
1011/02
vsULMULM
Win prob:85%
1111/09
@Southern MissUSM
Win prob:67%
1211/16
vsCoastal CarCCU
Win prob:39%
1311/23
@Old DominionODU
Win prob:42%
1411/30
@James MadisonJMU
Win prob:12%

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com

MarshallRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0.1%
100.0%
7-1
1.6%
56.0%
6-2
8.2%
13.3%
5-3
21.4%
1.9%
4-4
30.2%
0.2%
3-5
24.6%
0%
2-6
11.3%
0%
1-7
2.5%
0%
0-8
0.2%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Marshall CCG Opponents

if Marshall makes the CCG

TroyTroy
39.0%
South AlabamaSouth Alabama
33.9%
LouisianaLouisiana
18.3%
Arkansas StateArkansas St
4.8%
Texas StateTexas St
4.0%

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com

MarshallThis Week's Impact

Game
MarshallCCG OddsAway
MarshallCCG OddsHome

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com

MarshallLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Marshall CCG Probability
Likelihood
Any 1 loss
57.1%
<0.1%
Virginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio St
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga Southern
100.0%
<0.1%
W Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal Car
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian St
66.7%
<0.1%
James Madison
14.3%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
56.2%
0.3%
Ohio StW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StOld Dominion
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StSouthern Miss
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernSouthern Miss
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StOhio St
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StStony Brook
100.0%
<0.1%
Southern MissVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Southern MissStony Brook
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Old DominionSouthern Miss
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOhio St
85.7%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOhio St
59.1%
<0.1%
James MadisonVirginia Tech
56.3%
<0.1%
Appalachian StOhio St
51.5%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernVirginia Tech
50.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonULM
50.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOld Dominion
50.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonSouthern Miss
28.6%
<0.1%
James MadisonOhio St
26.0%
0.1%
Coastal CarGa Southern
25.0%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
32.2%
1.9%
Ga SouthernOhio StW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOhio StStony Brook
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StStony BrookVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StSouthern MissVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarSouthern MissVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StVirginia TechW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernGeorgia StVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StOld DominionStony Brook
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernSouthern MissVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StOld DominionW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StOld DominionSouthern Miss
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOhio StSouthern Miss
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernVirginia TechW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonStony BrookW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StStony BrookW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOhio StULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StULMVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StOhio StULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StOhio StSouthern Miss
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StSouthern MissW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StOhio StULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOhio StULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Old DominionVirginia TechW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StOhio StStony Brook
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StOld DominionULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StSouthern MissStony Brook
100.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonSouthern MissW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StStony BrookULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Old DominionSouthern MissVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StSouthern MissULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Old DominionSouthern MissULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StStony BrookW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarULMVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StOhio StW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StSouthern MissVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StULMVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOhio StVirginia Tech
98.2%
<0.1%
Georgia StOhio StVirginia Tech
97.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StOld DominionVirginia Tech
96.1%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOhio StSouthern Miss
80.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOhio StStony Brook
75.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOhio StVirginia Tech
71.9%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOhio StW Michigan
70.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOld DominionVirginia Tech
66.7%
<0.1%
Appalachian StOhio StVirginia Tech
58.9%
<0.1%
Appalachian StOhio StW Michigan
58.3%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernGeorgia StOhio St
57.1%
<0.1%
Coastal CarGeorgia StOhio St
55.6%
<0.1%
Appalachian StOhio StSouthern Miss
50.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonOhio StStony Brook
50.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StOhio StStony Brook
50.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StJames MadisonULM
50.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarGeorgia StVirginia Tech
50.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonSouthern MissVirginia Tech
37.5%
<0.1%
Georgia StOhio StOld Dominion
33.3%
<0.1%
Appalachian StVirginia TechW Michigan
33.3%
<0.1%
James MadisonStony BrookVirginia Tech
33.3%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOld DominionVirginia Tech
33.3%
<0.1%
Georgia StOld DominionVirginia Tech
33.3%
<0.1%
James MadisonOhio StSouthern Miss
30.4%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOhio StOld Dominion
30.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOhio StOld Dominion
28.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonOhio StVirginia Tech
27.8%
0.4%
Appalachian StGa SouthernOhio St
26.7%
<0.1%
James MadisonOhio StW Michigan
26.1%
<0.1%
Appalachian StOld DominionVirginia Tech
25.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonOld DominionSouthern Miss
25.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarGa SouthernVirginia Tech
25.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StOhio StOld Dominion
20.7%
<0.1%
Appalachian StGa SouthernVirginia Tech
16.7%
<0.1%
Coastal CarGa SouthernOhio St
14.8%
<0.1%
James MadisonOhio StULM
14.3%
<0.1%
Appalachian StCoastal CarOhio St
9.1%
<0.1%
Georgia StJames MadisonOhio St
8.7%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernJames MadisonOhio St
7.1%
0.1%
James MadisonOld DominionVirginia Tech
5.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonOhio StOld Dominion
4.9%
0.2%
Coastal CarJames MadisonOhio St
3.6%
0.2%
Appalachian StJames MadisonOhio St
1.3%
0.2%
Any 4 losses
15.9%
5.3%
Ohio StSouthern MissULMVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StSouthern MissStony BrookVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Old DominionSouthern MissVirginia TechW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StULMVirginia TechW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StOld DominionSouthern MissVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StOld DominionStony BrookVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StOhio StStony BrookW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StOhio StVirginia TechW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StSouthern MissVirginia TechW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOhio StStony BrookW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StOhio StSouthern MissULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StOld DominionSouthern MissStony Brook
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StOhio StSouthern MissW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StStony BrookVirginia TechW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOhio StSouthern MissULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StOhio StStony BrookW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StOld DominionSouthern MissW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StOld DominionSouthern MissULM
100.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonSouthern MissStony BrookVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StOhio StULMVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarSouthern MissVirginia TechW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StOhio StStony BrookVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOhio StStony BrookW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StOhio StULMW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StOhio StSouthern MissStony Brook
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarGeorgia StSouthern MissVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernGeorgia StOhio StULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StSouthern MissULMW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOhio StSouthern MissW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarGeorgia StStony BrookVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StOhio StSouthern MissStony Brook
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StOld DominionStony BrookULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StSouthern MissVirginia TechW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StSouthern MissStony BrookW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOhio StSouthern MissStony Brook
100.0%
<0.1%
Old DominionSouthern MissStony BrookVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StSouthern MissStony BrookVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOhio StVirginia TechW Michigan
97.3%
<0.1%
Ohio StOld DominionVirginia TechW Michigan
97.2%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOhio StSouthern MissVirginia Tech
96.9%
<0.1%
Georgia StOhio StSouthern MissVirginia Tech
94.7%
<0.1%
Ohio StOld DominionULMVirginia Tech
92.9%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOhio StULMVirginia Tech
92.3%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOhio StStony BrookVirginia Tech
90.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOhio StULMVirginia Tech
73.3%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOhio StSouthern MissVirginia Tech
68.6%
<0.1%
Appalachian StOhio StStony BrookVirginia Tech
66.7%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOhio StOld DominionULM
66.7%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOhio StVirginia TechW Michigan
63.6%
<0.1%
Appalachian StOhio StVirginia TechW Michigan
62.8%
<0.1%
Appalachian StOhio StULMVirginia Tech
60.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernGeorgia StOhio StW Michigan
60.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StOhio StSouthern MissVirginia Tech
56.5%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernJames MadisonVirginia TechW Michigan
50.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOhio StSouthern MissULM
50.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonStony BrookULMVirginia Tech
50.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonSouthern MissULMVirginia Tech
50.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOhio StOld DominionStony Brook
50.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StOhio StSouthern MissW Michigan
50.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonOhio StULMW Michigan
50.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernGeorgia StOhio StSouthern Miss
50.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernGeorgia StVirginia TechW Michigan
50.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarGeorgia StOhio StStony Brook
50.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOhio StOld DominionStony Brook
50.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarGa SouthernOhio StW Michigan
44.4%
<0.1%
James MadisonOhio StULMVirginia Tech
40.9%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernGeorgia StOhio StVirginia Tech
37.8%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOhio StOld DominionVirginia Tech
36.1%
<0.1%
Georgia StOhio StOld DominionVirginia Tech
33.3%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOhio StStony BrookVirginia Tech
33.3%
<0.1%
James MadisonStony BrookVirginia TechW Michigan
33.3%
<0.1%
James MadisonOhio StSouthern MissVirginia Tech
31.1%
0.2%
James MadisonOhio StSouthern MissW Michigan
30.8%
<0.1%
James MadisonOhio StVirginia TechW Michigan
30.6%
0.2%
Ga SouthernOhio StOld DominionW Michigan
30.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarGeorgia StOhio StVirginia Tech
29.7%
<0.1%
James MadisonOhio StStony BrookVirginia Tech
28.9%
<0.1%
James MadisonOhio StSouthern MissULM
28.6%
<0.1%
Georgia StOhio StOld DominionW Michigan
25.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonOld DominionStony BrookVirginia Tech
25.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StOhio StOld DominionSouthern Miss
25.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StGa SouthernVirginia TechW Michigan
25.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StGa SouthernOhio StW Michigan
23.1%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOhio StOld DominionSouthern Miss
22.2%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOhio StOld DominionSouthern Miss
22.2%
<0.1%
Appalachian StGa SouthernOhio StSouthern Miss
21.4%
<0.1%
James MadisonOld DominionULMVirginia Tech
20.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonOhio StStony BrookW Michigan
20.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StGeorgia StOhio StSouthern Miss
18.2%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOhio StOld DominionVirginia Tech
17.9%
0.1%
Appalachian StGeorgia StOhio StVirginia Tech
16.7%
<0.1%
Appalachian StCoastal CarOhio StULM
16.7%
<0.1%
Georgia StJames MadisonSouthern MissVirginia Tech
16.7%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOhio StOld DominionULM
14.3%
<0.1%
Appalachian StOhio StOld DominionVirginia Tech
12.9%
0.1%
Coastal CarGa SouthernOhio StVirginia Tech
12.8%
0.1%
James MadisonOld DominionVirginia TechW Michigan
12.5%
<0.1%
Appalachian StGa SouthernOhio StVirginia Tech
11.7%
0.1%
Appalachian StOhio StOld DominionW Michigan
11.1%
<0.1%
Coastal CarGeorgia StOhio StW Michigan
11.1%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernJames MadisonOhio StULM
10.7%
<0.1%
Georgia StJames MadisonOhio StULM
10.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernJames MadisonSouthern MissVirginia Tech
10.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOhio StOld DominionW Michigan
9.1%
<0.1%
James MadisonOhio StOld DominionULM
8.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonOhio StOld DominionSouthern Miss
6.7%
<0.1%
James MadisonOhio StOld DominionVirginia Tech
6.6%
0.5%
Georgia StJames MadisonOhio StVirginia Tech
6.3%
0.3%
Ga SouthernJames MadisonOhio StSouthern Miss
6.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonOhio StOld DominionStony Brook
5.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernJames MadisonOhio StVirginia Tech
4.9%
0.4%
Appalachian StCoastal CarOhio StVirginia Tech
4.8%
0.2%
Ga SouthernJames MadisonOhio StW Michigan
4.8%
<0.1%
Coastal CarJames MadisonOhio StStony Brook
4.8%
<0.1%
Coastal CarJames MadisonOhio StULM
4.3%
<0.1%
Georgia StJames MadisonOhio StSouthern Miss
2.9%
<0.1%
Coastal CarJames MadisonOhio StVirginia Tech
2.3%
0.6%
James MadisonOhio StOld DominionW Michigan
1.8%
<0.1%
Coastal CarJames MadisonOhio StW Michigan
1.5%
<0.1%
Coastal CarJames MadisonOhio StSouthern Miss
1.2%
<0.1%
Appalachian StJames MadisonOhio StSouthern Miss
1.0%
0.1%
Appalachian StJames MadisonOhio StVirginia Tech
0.5%
0.7%

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com