Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
4.8%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/29 | W30-13 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | L0-38 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | W34-3 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | W23-20 | |
| 5 | 9/28 | L3-47 | |
| 7 | 10/12 | W30-15 | |
| 8 | 10/19 | L41-48 | |
| 9 | 10/26 | L16-47 | |
| 10 | 11/02 | Win prob:63% | |
| 12 | 11/12 | Win prob:72% | |
| 13 | 11/20 | Win prob:36% | |
| 14 | 11/26 | Win prob:90% |
Data from 2024-10-27
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | 14.7% | 31.9% |
| 5-3 | 42.0% | 0.1% |
| 4-4 | 33.4% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 9.1% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 0.7% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-10-27
Most Likely CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2024-10-27
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5% (+2.8%) | 0.1% (-4.7%) | |
| 4.3% (-0.5%) | 6.0% (+1.3%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Buffalo
Eastern MichiganCCG: 9.5% • Scenario: 17.5%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
BuffaloCCG: 7.5% • Scenario: 63.0%
Data from 2024-10-27
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Win out
31.9%
14.7%Data from 2024-10-27
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-10-27