Big XII Tiebreaker Scenarios

Scenarios where tiebreakers determine conference championship game participants

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50 of 124 scenarios

Scenario	CCG Matchup	Probability
8-1 BYUBYU 7-2 ColoradoCOLO Iowa StateISU	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUIowa StateISU 63.0% BYUBYUColoradoCOLO 37.0%	3.3%
7-2 BYUBYU ColoradoCOLO Iowa StateISU	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUIowa StateISU 81.9% BYUBYUColoradoCOLO 9.3% ColoradoCOLOIowa StateISU 8.8%	2.3%
8-1 BYUBYU 7-2 ColoradoCOLO Kansas StateKSU	BYUBYUKansas StateKSU	2.1%
8-1 BYUBYU 7-2 Iowa StateISU Texas TechTTU	BYUBYUTexas TechTTU	1.8%
8-1 BYUBYU 7-2 Iowa StateISU Kansas StateKSU	BYUBYUKansas StateKSU	1.8%
8-1 Iowa StateISU 7-2 BYUBYU ColoradoCOLO	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUIowa StateISU 94.1% ColoradoCOLOIowa StateISU 5.9%	1.7%
9-0 BYUBYU 7-2 ColoradoCOLO Iowa StateISU	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUIowa StateISU 64.4% BYUBYUColoradoCOLO 35.6%	1.6%
7-2 BYUBYU ColoradoCOLO Kansas StateKSU	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUKansas StateKSU 93.1% ColoradoCOLOKansas StateKSU 6.9%	1.6%
7-2 BYUBYU Iowa StateISU Kansas StateKSU	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUIowa StateISU 63.2% BYUBYUKansas StateKSU 36.8%	1.4%
7-2 BYUBYU Iowa StateISU Texas TechTTU	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUIowa StateISU 44.3% Iowa StateISUTexas TechTTU 37.7% BYUBYUTexas TechTTU 18.0%	1.3%
8-1 BYUBYU 7-2 ColoradoCOLO Iowa StateISU Kansas StateKSU	BYUBYUKansas StateKSU	1.2%
8-1 BYUBYU 7-2 Kansas StateKSU Texas TechTTU	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUKansas StateKSU 96.7% BYUBYUTexas TechTTU 3.3%	1.2%
8-1 Iowa StateISU 7-2 BYUBYU Texas TechTTU	CCG participants not 100% certain Iowa StateISUTexas TechTTU 54.2% BYUBYUIowa StateISU 45.8%	1.0%
9-0 BYUBYU 7-2 ColoradoCOLO Kansas StateKSU	BYUBYUKansas StateKSU	1.0%
8-1 BYUBYU ColoradoCOLO Iowa StateISU	BYUBYUIowa StateISU	0.9%
7-2 BYUBYU ColoradoCOLO Iowa StateISU Kansas StateKSU	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUKansas StateKSU 62.6% Iowa StateISUKansas StateKSU 28.2% BYUBYUIowa StateISU 5.4%	0.9%
9-0 BYUBYU 7-2 Iowa StateISU Texas TechTTU	BYUBYUTexas TechTTU	0.9%
7-2 BYUBYU Kansas StateKSU Texas TechTTU	CCG participants not 100% certain Kansas StateKSUTexas TechTTU 53.8% BYUBYUKansas StateKSU 41.4% BYUBYUTexas TechTTU 4.9%	0.9%
8-1 ColoradoCOLO 7-2 BYUBYU Iowa StateISU	CCG participants not 100% certain ColoradoCOLOIowa StateISU 84.4% BYUBYUColoradoCOLO 15.6%	0.8%
9-0 BYUBYU 7-2 Iowa StateISU Kansas StateKSU	BYUBYUKansas StateKSU	0.8%
8-1 BYUBYU 7-2 Iowa StateISU Kansas StateKSU Texas TechTTU	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUKansas StateKSU 74.6% BYUBYUIowa StateISU 20.3% BYUBYUTexas TechTTU 5.1%	0.7%
9-0 BYUBYU 7-2 ColoradoCOLO Iowa StateISU Kansas StateKSU	BYUBYUKansas StateKSU	0.6%
9-0 BYUBYU 7-2 Kansas StateKSU Texas TechTTU	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUKansas StateKSU 99.5%	0.6%
7-2 BYUBYU Iowa StateISU Kansas StateKSU Texas TechTTU	CCG participants not 100% certain Iowa StateISUKansas StateKSU 44.5% BYUBYUKansas StateKSU 42.2% Iowa StateISUTexas TechTTU 8.4%	0.6%
8-1 ColoradoCOLO 7-2 BYUBYU Kansas StateKSU	BYUBYUColoradoCOLO	0.5%
8-1 BYUBYU 7-2 ColoradoCOLO Iowa StateISU Texas TechTTU	BYUBYUTexas TechTTU	0.5%
9-0 BYUBYU 8-1 ColoradoCOLO Iowa StateISU	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUIowa StateISU 85.4% BYUBYUColoradoCOLO 14.6%	0.4%
9-0 BYUBYU 7-2 Iowa StateISU Kansas StateKSU Texas TechTTU	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUKansas StateKSU 90.2% BYUBYUIowa StateISU 6.8% BYUBYUTexas TechTTU 3.0%	0.3%
8-1 BYUBYU 7-2 Iowa StateISU West VirginiaWVU	BYUBYUIowa StateISU	0.3%
8-1 ColoradoCOLO 7-2 BYUBYU Iowa StateISU Kansas StateKSU	CCG participants not 100% certain ColoradoCOLOIowa StateISU 69.4% BYUBYUColoradoCOLO 30.6%	0.3%
8-1 BYUBYU 7-2 ColoradoCOLO Kansas StateKSU Texas TechTTU	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUKansas StateKSU 92.7% BYUBYUTexas TechTTU 7.3%	0.3%
7-2 BYUBYU ColoradoCOLO Iowa StateISU Texas TechTTU	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUIowa StateISU 57.7% ColoradoCOLOIowa StateISU 23.3% BYUBYUTexas TechTTU 18.9%	0.3%
7-2 ColoradoCOLO Iowa StateISU Kansas StateKSU	CCG participants not 100% certain ColoradoCOLOKansas StateKSU 75.8% Iowa StateISUKansas StateKSU 24.2%	0.3%
8-1 Iowa StateISU 7-2 BYUBYU ColoradoCOLO Texas TechTTU	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUIowa StateISU 73.9% ColoradoCOLOIowa StateISU 26.2%	0.3%
8-1 BYUBYU 7-2 ColoradoCOLO Texas TechTTU	BYUBYUTexas TechTTU	0.3%
7-2 BYUBYU ColoradoCOLO Kansas StateKSU Texas TechTTU	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUKansas StateKSU 63.9% ColoradoCOLOKansas StateKSU 25.5% Kansas StateKSUTexas TechTTU 10.2%	0.3%
9-0 BYUBYU 7-2 ColoradoCOLO Iowa StateISU Texas TechTTU	BYUBYUTexas TechTTU	0.3%
7-2 BYUBYU ColoradoCOLO Texas TechTTU	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUTexas TechTTU 70.6% BYUBYUColoradoCOLO 29.4%	0.2%
7-2 BYUBYU Iowa StateISU West VirginiaWVU	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUIowa StateISU 97.2% Iowa StateISUWest VirginiaWVU 2.8%	0.2%
8-1 BYUBYU 7-2 Kansas StateKSU West VirginiaWVU	BYUBYUKansas StateKSU	0.2%
8-1 BYUBYU 7-2 ColoradoCOLO Iowa StateISU Kansas StateKSU Texas TechTTU	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUKansas StateKSU 87.1% BYUBYUTexas TechTTU 13.0%	0.2%
9-0 BYUBYU 7-2 ColoradoCOLO Kansas StateKSU Texas TechTTU	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUKansas StateKSU 97.1% BYUBYUTexas TechTTU 2.9%	0.2%
7-2 Iowa StateISU Kansas StateKSU Texas TechTTU	CCG participants not 100% certain Iowa StateISUKansas StateKSU 48.3% Kansas StateKSUTexas TechTTU 42.6% Iowa StateISUTexas TechTTU 9.1%	0.2%
8-1 BYUBYU 7-2 ColoradoCOLO Iowa StateISU West VirginiaWVU	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUWest VirginiaWVU 66.7% BYUBYUIowa StateISU 33.3%	0.2%
8-1 Iowa StateISU 7-2 BYUBYU West VirginiaWVU	BYUBYUIowa StateISU	0.2%
9-0 BYUBYU 7-2 Iowa StateISU West VirginiaWVU	BYUBYUIowa StateISU	0.2%
9-0 BYUBYU 7-2 ColoradoCOLO Texas TechTTU	BYUBYUTexas TechTTU	0.2%
7-2 Arizona StateASU BYUBYU Iowa StateISU	CCG participants not 100% certain Arizona StateASUIowa StateISU 51.5% Arizona StateASUBYUBYU 48.5%	0.2%
7-2 BYUBYU Kansas StateKSU West VirginiaWVU	BYUBYUKansas StateKSU	0.1%
8-1 BYUBYU 7-2 Arizona StateASU Iowa StateISU	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUIowa StateISU 61.3% Arizona StateASUBYUBYU 38.7%	0.1%

How Tiebreakers Work

Head-to-head record → Record against the highest-placed common opponent → Next-highest, etc. → Strength of schedule → Total wins

Some tiebreaker steps involve factors like point differential that cannot be predicted before games are played, leading to uncertain outcomes.