Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
19.7%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | W31-7 | |
| 2 | 9/06 | W77-3 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | W42-13 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | W52-14 | |
| 5 | 9/28 | W42-28 | |
| 6 | 10/05 | W41-24 | |
| 8 | 10/19 | W56-7 | |
| 9 | 10/26 | W31-17 | |
| 10 | 11/02 | W47-10 | |
| 11 | 11/09 | W20-15 | |
| 13 | 11/23 | Win prob:17% | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:99% |
Data from 2024-11-10
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 9-0 | 17.0% | 100.0% |
| 8-1 | 81.9% | 3.3% |
| 7-2 | 1.1% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-11-10
Most Likely CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2024-11-10
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 19.6% (-0.1%) | 29.3% (+9.6%) | |
| 20.6% (+0.9%) | 19.5% (-0.3%) | |
| 19.6% (-0.2%) | 21.0% (+1.3%) | |
| 19.3% (-0.4%) | 35.5% (+15.8%) | |
| 20.3% (+0.5%) | 19.7% (-0.1%) | |
| 19.8% (+0.1%) | 19.7% (-0.0%) | |
| 19.9% (+0.1%) | 19.7% (-0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Purdue
NorthwesternCCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
NorthwesternCCG: 35.5% • Scenario: 2.8%
Data from 2024-11-10
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Win out
100.0%
17.0%Any 1 loss
3.3%
81.9%100.0%
0.3%
3.0%
81.6%Data from 2024-11-10
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-11-10