Oregon

OregonDucks

10-0 T1st (7-0) in B1G

Data from 2024-11-10 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

94.1%

Based on 100,000 simulations

OregonSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/31
vsIdahoIDHO
W24-14
29/07
vsBoise StBOIS
W37-34
39/14
@Oregon StORST
W49-14
59/28
@UCLAUCLA
W34-13
610/04
vsMichigan StMSU
W31-10
710/12
vsOhio StOSU
W32-31
810/18
@PurduePUR
W35-0
910/26
vsIllinoisILL
W38-9
1011/02
@MichiganMICH
W38-17
1111/09
vsMarylandMD
W39-18
1211/16
@WisconsinWIS
Win prob:88%
1411/30
vsWashingtonWASH
Win prob:93%

Data from 2024-11-10 • SportsSimulate.com

OregonRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
82.3%
100.0%
8-1
17.0%
69.5%
7-2
0.7%
0.7%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-11-10 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Oregon CCG Opponents

if Oregon makes the CCG

Ohio StateOhio St
70.4%
IndianaIndiana
20.6%
Penn StatePenn St
9.0%

Data from 2024-11-10 • SportsSimulate.com

OregonThis Week's Impact

Game
OregonCCG OddsAway
OregonCCG OddsHome
Penn StPSU@PurduePUR
94.0%
(-0.1%)		99.5%
(+5.5%)
Michigan StMSU@IllinoisILL
96.9%
(+2.8%)		93.2%
(-0.9%)
OregonORE@WisconsinWIS
97.9%
(+3.8%)		65.0%
(-29.0%)
Ohio StOSU@NorthwesternNU
93.9%
(-0.1%)		98.9%
(+4.8%)
NebraskaNEB@USCUSC
97.4%
(+3.3%)		93.7%
(-0.4%)
RutgersRUTG@MarylandMD
94.1%
(+0.1%)		94.0%
(-0.0%)
UCLAUCLA@WashingtonWASH
94.3%
(+0.3%)		94.0%
(-0.1%)

Best Winner Combination for Oregon

PurduePurdueMichigan StMichigan State

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.4%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Oregon

OregonOregon

CCG: 97.9% • Scenario: 88.4%

Ways for Oregon to Clinch Big Ten CCG Spot This Week

OregonOregonNorthwesternNorthwestern
2.5%
PurduePurdueOregonOregon
1.3%
PurduePurdueMichigan StMichigan State
0.4%
PurduePurdueUCLAUCLA
0.3%
Michigan StMichigan StateNebraskaNebraskaRutgersRutgersUCLAUCLA
0.2%
PurduePurdueNebraskaNebraska
0.1%

Data from 2024-11-10 • SportsSimulate.com

OregonLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Oregon CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
82.3%
Any 1 loss
69.5%
17.0%
Washington
69.5%
6.1%
Wisconsin
69.4%
10.8%
WashingtonWisconsin
0.7%
0.7%

Data from 2024-11-10 • SportsSimulate.com

OregonCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10Week 11Week 12

Data from 2024-11-10 • SportsSimulate.com