Big Ten Tiebreaker Scenarios

Scenarios where tiebreakers determine conference championship game participants

Filter by team:

11 of 11 scenarios

Scenario	CCG Matchup	Probability
9-0 OregonORE 8-1 IndianaIU Ohio StateOSU Penn StatePSU	Ohio StateOSUOregonORE	47.6%
8-1 IndianaIU Ohio StateOSU OregonORE Penn StatePSU	CCG participants not 100% certain Ohio StateOSUPenn StatePSU 52.0% Ohio StateOSUOregonORE 47.9%	9.7%
9-0 IndianaIU OregonORE 8-1 Penn StatePSU	IndianaIUOregonORE	1.5%
9-0 OregonORE 8-1 IndianaIU Ohio StateOSU	Ohio StateOSUOregonORE	0.5%
9-0 IndianaIU 8-1 OregonORE Penn StatePSU	CCG participants not 100% certain IndianaIUOregonORE 88.8% IndianaIUPenn StatePSU 11.3%	0.3%
9-0 OregonORE 8-1 IndianaIU Penn StatePSU	CCG participants not 100% certain OregonOREPenn StatePSU 76.5% IndianaIUOregonORE 23.5%	0.2%
8-1 IndianaIU Ohio StateOSU OregonORE	Ohio StateOSUOregonORE	0.1%
8-1 IndianaIU OregonORE Penn StatePSU	CCG participants not 100% certain OregonOREPenn StatePSU 76.2% IndianaIUOregonORE 23.8%	<0.1%
9-0 OregonORE 7-2 IndianaIU Ohio StateOSU Penn StatePSU	Ohio StateOSUOregonORE	<0.1%
9-0 IndianaIU 7-2 Ohio StateOSU OregonORE Penn StatePSU	IndianaIUOhio StateOSU	<0.1%
8-1 IndianaIU 7-2 Ohio StateOSU OregonORE Penn StatePSU	CCG participants not 100% certain IndianaIUOhio StateOSU 94.1% IndianaIUOregonORE 5.9%	<0.1%

Head-to-head → Common conference opponents → Record against highest-placed opponent → Next-highest, etc.

Some tiebreaker steps involve factors like point differential that cannot be predicted before games are played, leading to uncertain outcomes.