Big XII Tiebreaker Scenarios

Scenarios where tiebreakers determine conference championship game participants

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50 of 51 scenarios

Scenario	CCG Matchup	Probability
8-1 BYUBYU 7-2 ColoradoCOLO Kansas StateKSU	BYUBYUKansas StateKSU	6.6%
8-1 BYUBYU 7-2 ColoradoCOLO Iowa StateISU	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUIowa StateISU 74.6% BYUBYUColoradoCOLO 25.4%	5.0%
9-0 BYUBYU 7-2 ColoradoCOLO Kansas StateKSU	BYUBYUKansas StateKSU	4.3%
9-0 BYUBYU 7-2 ColoradoCOLO Iowa StateISU	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUIowa StateISU 74.8% BYUBYUColoradoCOLO 25.2%	3.4%
7-2 BYUBYU ColoradoCOLO Kansas StateKSU	BYUBYUKansas StateKSU	2.9%
7-2 BYUBYU ColoradoCOLO Iowa StateISU	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUIowa StateISU 97.3% BYUBYUColoradoCOLO 2.7%	2.2%
8-1 ColoradoCOLO 7-2 BYUBYU Kansas StateKSU	BYUBYUColoradoCOLO	1.6%
8-1 BYUBYU 7-2 ColoradoCOLO West VirginiaWVU	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUWest VirginiaWVU 99.8%	1.1%
8-1 ColoradoCOLO 7-2 BYUBYU Iowa StateISU	ColoradoCOLOIowa StateISU	1.1%
8-1 BYUBYU 7-2 ColoradoCOLO Kansas StateKSU West VirginiaWVU	BYUBYUKansas StateKSU	1.0%
8-1 BYUBYU 7-2 Arizona StateASU ColoradoCOLO	CCG participants not 100% certain Arizona StateASUBYUBYU 56.6% BYUBYUColoradoCOLO 43.4%	0.9%
8-1 BYUBYU 7-2 ColoradoCOLO Iowa StateISU West VirginiaWVU	BYUBYUWest VirginiaWVU	0.8%
7-2 Arizona StateASU BYUBYU ColoradoCOLO	Arizona StateASUBYUBYU	0.7%
9-0 BYUBYU 7-2 ColoradoCOLO West VirginiaWVU	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUWest VirginiaWVU 99.7%	0.7%
9-0 BYUBYU 7-2 ColoradoCOLO Kansas StateKSU West VirginiaWVU	BYUBYUKansas StateKSU	0.6%
8-1 BYUBYU 7-2 Kansas StateKSU West VirginiaWVU	BYUBYUKansas StateKSU	0.5%
9-0 BYUBYU 7-2 ColoradoCOLO Iowa StateISU West VirginiaWVU	BYUBYUWest VirginiaWVU	0.5%
7-2 BYUBYU ColoradoCOLO Kansas StateKSU West VirginiaWVU	BYUBYUKansas StateKSU	0.4%
8-1 BYUBYU 7-2 Iowa StateISU West VirginiaWVU	BYUBYUIowa StateISU	0.4%
7-2 BYUBYU ColoradoCOLO West VirginiaWVU	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUWest VirginiaWVU 99.5%	0.4%
9-0 BYUBYU 7-2 Kansas StateKSU West VirginiaWVU	BYUBYUKansas StateKSU	0.4%
7-2 BYUBYU ColoradoCOLO Iowa StateISU West VirginiaWVU	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUIowa StateISU 79.7% BYUBYUWest VirginiaWVU 12.1% Iowa StateISUWest VirginiaWVU 8.2%	0.3%
8-1 ColoradoCOLO 7-2 Arizona StateASU BYUBYU	Arizona StateASUColoradoCOLO	0.3%
9-0 BYUBYU 7-2 Iowa StateISU West VirginiaWVU	BYUBYUIowa StateISU	0.3%
8-1 BYUBYU 7-2 Arizona StateASU ColoradoCOLO Iowa StateISU	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUColoradoCOLO 54.4% BYUBYUIowa StateISU 35.6% Arizona StateASUBYUBYU 10.1%	0.3%
7-2 BYUBYU Kansas StateKSU West VirginiaWVU	BYUBYUKansas StateKSU	0.3%
8-1 ColoradoCOLO 7-2 BYUBYU West VirginiaWVU	BYUBYUColoradoCOLO	0.2%
7-2 Arizona StateASU BYUBYU ColoradoCOLO Iowa StateISU	CCG participants not 100% certain Arizona StateASUIowa StateISU 80.3% Arizona StateASUBYUBYU 19.7%	0.2%
8-1 ColoradoCOLO 7-2 BYUBYU Kansas StateKSU West VirginiaWVU	ColoradoCOLOKansas StateKSU	0.2%
8-1 ColoradoCOLO 7-2 BYUBYU Iowa StateISU West VirginiaWVU	CCG participants not 100% certain ColoradoCOLOIowa StateISU 88.8% BYUBYUColoradoCOLO 11.3%	0.2%
7-2 BYUBYU Iowa StateISU West VirginiaWVU	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUIowa StateISU 90.2% Iowa StateISUWest VirginiaWVU 9.8%	0.2%
8-1 BYUBYU 7-2 Arizona StateASU Iowa StateISU	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUIowa StateISU 74.6% Arizona StateASUBYUBYU 25.4%	0.2%
8-1 ColoradoCOLO 7-2 Arizona StateASU BYUBYU Iowa StateISU	Arizona StateASUColoradoCOLO	0.1%
7-2 Arizona StateASU BYUBYU Iowa StateISU	Arizona StateASUIowa StateISU	0.1%
8-1 BYUBYU 7-2 Arizona StateASU ColoradoCOLO West VirginiaWVU	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUWest VirginiaWVU 99.2%	0.1%
7-2 Arizona StateASU BYUBYU ColoradoCOLO West VirginiaWVU	CCG participants not 100% certain Arizona StateASUBYUBYU 90.0% Arizona StateASUWest VirginiaWVU 10.0%	0.1%
8-1 BYUBYU 7-2 Arizona StateASU West VirginiaWVU	BYUBYUWest VirginiaWVU	<0.1%
8-1 BYUBYU 7-2 Arizona StateASU ColoradoCOLO Iowa StateISU West VirginiaWVU	BYUBYUWest VirginiaWVU	<0.1%
7-2 Arizona StateASU BYUBYU West VirginiaWVU	CCG participants not 100% certain Arizona StateASUBYUBYU 85.3% Arizona StateASUWest VirginiaWVU 14.8%	<0.1%
8-1 ColoradoCOLO 7-2 Arizona StateASU BYUBYU West VirginiaWVU	Arizona StateASUColoradoCOLO	<0.1%
7-2 Arizona StateASU BYUBYU ColoradoCOLO Iowa StateISU West VirginiaWVU	CCG participants not 100% certain Arizona StateASUIowa StateISU 79.0% Arizona StateASUWest VirginiaWVU 10.5% Arizona StateASUBYUBYU 10.5%	<0.1%
7-2 ColoradoCOLO Kansas StateKSU West VirginiaWVU	CCG participants not 100% certain Kansas StateKSUWest VirginiaWVU 97.4% ColoradoCOLOKansas StateKSU 2.6%	<0.1%
8-1 BYUBYU 7-2 Arizona StateASU Iowa StateISU West VirginiaWVU	BYUBYUWest VirginiaWVU	<0.1%
7-2 ColoradoCOLO Iowa StateISU West VirginiaWVU	CCG participants not 100% certain Iowa StateISUWest VirginiaWVU 85.2% ColoradoCOLOWest VirginiaWVU 14.8%	<0.1%
8-1 ColoradoCOLO 7-2 Iowa StateISU West VirginiaWVU	ColoradoCOLOIowa StateISU	<0.1%
8-1 ColoradoCOLO 7-2 Arizona StateASU BYUBYU Iowa StateISU West VirginiaWVU	Arizona StateASUColoradoCOLO	<0.1%
7-2 Arizona StateASU ColoradoCOLO Iowa StateISU	CCG participants not 100% certain Arizona StateASUColoradoCOLO 37.5% Arizona StateASUIowa StateISU 33.3% ColoradoCOLOIowa StateISU 29.2%	<0.1%
8-1 ColoradoCOLO 7-2 Kansas StateKSU West VirginiaWVU	ColoradoCOLOKansas StateKSU	<0.1%
8-1 ColoradoCOLO 7-2 Arizona StateASU Iowa StateISU	CCG participants not 100% certain ColoradoCOLOIowa StateISU 90.0% Arizona StateASUColoradoCOLO 10.0%	<0.1%
7-2 Arizona StateASU ColoradoCOLO West VirginiaWVU	CCG participants not 100% certain Arizona StateASUWest VirginiaWVU 78.6% ColoradoCOLOWest VirginiaWVU 21.4%	<0.1%

How Tiebreakers Work

Head-to-head record → Record against the highest-placed common opponent → Next-highest, etc. → Strength of schedule → Total wins

Some tiebreaker steps involve factors like point differential that cannot be predicted before games are played, leading to uncertain outcomes.