Big XII Championship Probabilities
Simulated probabilities for conference championship game appearances• Data from 2024-11-10
Conference Standings
| 1 |  BYUBYU | 6-0 | 9-0 | 95.7% | |
| 2 |  ColoradoCOLO | 5-1 | 7-2 | 44.3% | |
| T3 |  Kansas StateKSU | 4-2 | 7-2 | 30.7% | |
| T3 |  Iowa StateISU | 4-2 | 7-2 | 18.3% | |
| T3 |  West VirginiaWVU | 4-2 | 5-4 | 5.7% | |
| T3 |  Arizona StateASU | 4-2 | 7-2 | 3.8% | |
| T7 |  TCUTCU | 4-3 | 6-4 | 0.2% | |
| T7 |  Texas TechTTU | 4-3 | 6-4 | 0.2% | |
| T9 |  BaylorBAY | 3-3 | 5-4 | 0.8% | |
| T9 |  CincinnatiCIN | 3-3 | 5-4 | 0.2% | |
| T9 |  HoustonHOU | 3-3 | 4-5 | <0.1% | |
| 12 |  KansasKU | 2-4 | 3-6 | - | |
| 13 |  UCFUCF | 2-5 | 4-6 | - | |
| T14 |  ArizonaARIZ | 1-5 | 3-6 | - | |
| T14 |  UtahUTAH | 1-5 | 4-5 | - | |
| 16 |  Oklahoma StateOKST | 0-7 | 3-7 | - | |
Based on 100,000 simulations • Data from 2024-11-10
Most Likely CCG Matchups
Data from 2024-11-10
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-11-10
This Week's Impact on CCG Odds
Current CCG Probability: 95.7%
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 95.8% (+0.1%) | 95.6% (-0.1%) | |
| 97.3% (+1.6%) | 95.3% (-0.4%) | |
| 90.2% (-5.5%) | 99.5% (+3.8%) | |
| 97.6% (+1.9%) | 94.7% (-1.0%) | |
| 95.7% (-0.0%) | 95.7% (+0.0%) | |
| 92.5% (-3.2%) | 96.4% (+0.7%) |
Best Winner Combination for
CincinnatiBYUUtahCCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 3.8%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
BYUCCG: 99.5% • Scenario: 59.3%
Ways for to Clinch CCG Spot This Week
BYUUtahKansas StateCincinnatiBYUUtahBaylorCincinnatiBYUKansas StateData from 2024-11-10
CCG Odds by Conference Record
Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record
| Team | 9-0 | 8-1 | 7-2 | 6-3 | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BYUBYU | 100% | 100% | 88.4% | 3.2% | 95.7% |
| ColoradoCOLO | - | 100% | 37.6% | 3.8% | 44.3% |
| Kansas StateKSU | - | - | 75.7% | 10.8% | 30.7% |
| Iowa StateISU | - | - | 65.6% | 1.1% | 18.3% |
| West VirginiaWVU | - | - | 40.3% | 1.2% | 5.7% |
| Arizona StateASU | - | - | 66.2% | 0.8% | 3.8% |
| BaylorBAY | - | - | - | 6.8% | 0.8% |
| CincinnatiCIN | - | - | - | 17.0% | 0.2% |
| TCUTCU | - | - | - | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Texas TechTTU | - | - | - | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| HoustonHOU | - | - | - | 1.4% | <0.1% |
| ArizonaARIZ | - | - | - | - | - |
| KansasKU | - | - | - | - | - |
| Oklahoma StateOKST | - | - | - | - | - |
| UCFUCF | - | - | - | - | - |
| UtahUTAH | - | - | - | - | - |
Data from 2024-11-10
Final Record Distribution
Probability of each team finishing with a given conference record
| Team | 9-0 | 8-1 | 7-2 | 6-3 | 5-4 | 4-5 | 3-6 | 2-7 | 1-8 | 0-9 | Avg Wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BYUBYU(6-0) | 30.0% | 47.1% | 21.0% | 1.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8.1 |
| ColoradoCOLO(5-1) | - | 25.2% | 48.2% | 23.8% | 2.7% | - | - | - | - | - | 7.0 |
| Kansas StateKSU(4-2) | - | - | 33.5% | 49.3% | 15.8% | 1.4% | - | - | - | - | 6.1 |
| Iowa StateISU(4-2) | - | - | 27.1% | 46.9% | 22.9% | 3.1% | - | - | - | - | 6.0 |
| West VirginiaWVU(4-2) | - | - | 13.1% | 38.6% | 36.8% | 11.5% | - | - | - | - | 5.5 |
| TCUTCU(4-3) | - | - | - | 40.3% | 50.2% | 9.5% | - | - | - | - | 5.3 |
| Arizona StateASU(4-2) | - | - | 5.4% | 33.6% | 46.2% | 14.9% | - | - | - | - | 5.3 |
| Texas TechTTU(4-3) | - | - | - | 35.3% | 48.9% | 15.8% | - | - | - | - | 5.2 |
| BaylorBAY(3-3) | - | - | - | 12.5% | 39.1% | 38.2% | 10.2% | - | - | - | 4.5 |
| CincinnatiCIN(3-3) | - | - | - | 1.4% | 15.2% | 48.7% | 34.7% | - | - | - | 3.8 |
| HoustonHOU(3-3) | - | - | - | 1.3% | 16.1% | 45.3% | 37.3% | - | - | - | 3.8 |
| KansasKU(2-4) | - | - | - | - | 12.7% | 38.8% | 37.2% | 11.2% | - | - | 3.5 |
| UCFUCF(2-5) | - | - | - | - | - | 32.8% | 49.6% | 17.5% | - | - | 3.2 |
| ArizonaARIZ(1-5) | - | - | - | - | - | 3.7% | 25.8% | 48.7% | 21.8% | - | 2.1 |
| UtahUTAH(1-5) | - | - | - | - | - | 4.3% | 24.2% | 44.5% | 27.0% | - | 2.1 |
| Oklahoma StateOKST(0-7) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5.0% | 39.3% | 55.8% | 0.5 |
Data from 2024-11-10